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Conference 7.286::digital

Title:The Digital way of working
Moderator:QUARK::LIONELON
Created:Fri Feb 14 1986
Last Modified:Fri Jun 06 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:5321
Total number of notes:139771

2642.0. "Only Digital can help/hurt Digital" by SDSVAX::SWEENEY (Via,Veritas,Vita) Fri Aug 27 1993 20:14

    "Wall Street" cannot hurt Digital.
    Only Digital can hurt Digital.
    
    "Wall Street " cannot help Digital (except if they increase their
    product purchases from us)
    Only Digital can help Digital.

    Digital is fully responsible for its decline from 199 1/2 to 30 3/8, a
    loss of 85% of the shareholders value in the company.

    Digital could have remained a private company and funded by private
    investors, but the owners _chose_ to go public.

    With that step, they agreed to place their company under the scrutiny
    of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the required filings of
    financial condition under public scrutiny.

    The public is served by the publishers and authors of the analysis of
    the past results and future prospects of public companies.

    It's a simplistic and incorrect observation to make that "Wall Street"
    requires that financial results must reflect Wall Street's "short-term
    thinking".  For one thing, in the long run, all companies must be
    profitable or they will no longer exist, so the expectation of profit
    is always meaningful.  Secondly "Wall Street" doesn't robotically
    demand  unrealistic increases in short-term profits.  Finally, what
    anyone on Wall Street says cannot hold back reality: if the prediction
    of one or even a consensus of analysts is wrong, then any decline in
    price is quickly recovered.  Consistently wrong analysts are
    "corrected" by being fired by their employers.
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2642.1CTOAVX::SMITHBSat Aug 28 1993 14:2923
    Pat,
    	We live in a 'blame' culture/society.  Just about any personal
    type crime these days (rape,murder,assault) has some news story
    with it about how the perpertrator had some 'reason' or event
    in their life to blame the deed on.  Business is no different.
    For years we heard how the Europe sluggish economy was to 'blame'
    for Digital's problems.  That excuse has worn out, so it's Wall
    Street to blame.  Never mind that when Wall Street was high on 
    DEC, we never complained.  We are in trouble because 75% of the
    company sits in cubes wearing Digital blinders, believing all the
    garbage our internal organizations turn out about how wonderful
    our products are.  They never mention how we missed the PC revolution
    and are struggling to catch up in minimal margin business.  DELL 
    just posted a loss in this business, and we are pinning some big hopes
    in PC sales.  We have given away the LAT business, killed DECnet, and 
    are folding the tent on VMS.  No one has figured out that customers
    care little about 'open'.  What they care about is the quality/price 
    ratio.  MS windows is not an 'open' system, but people are buying 
    it faster than MS can make it.  Reason? It gets the job done for
    a cheap price.  I could go on and on but it wouldn't matter, blaming
    Wall Street won't stop.
    
    Brad.
2642.2HAAG::HAAGRode hard. Put up wet.Sat Aug 28 1993 18:353
    i find it a bit interesting that many from NYC fail to see how very
    little wall street adds to the productivity of this country and how
    much it really hurts. but then there is those many trees in the forest.
2642.3BHUNA::BHARRISSun Aug 29 1993 11:377
>    Digital is fully responsible for its decline from 199 1/2 to 30 3/8, a
>    loss of 85% of the shareholders value in the company.
    
     
    Why did Digitals stock go up to $199? 
    
    Why did the Stock market crash in 1987?
2642.4SDSVAX::SWEENEYVia,Veritas,VitaMon Aug 30 1993 12:0328
    re: .1

    Actually, it's an "I failed, but it wasn't my fault"-culture. Sometimes
    one doesn't know who to blame.

    re: .2

    The "productivity" effect of Wall Street on American corporations is an
    interesting topic to discuss, but certainly it is not unique to
    Digital; as Digital is as much a part of it as any other
    publicly-trader company that Digital competes with.

    re: .3

    Digital's stock rose to $199 because it earned a lot of money.
    
    Profits make a stock price rise.  The profits came to Digital from
    customers and customers paid a large margin for the products Digital
    sold in 1986 and 1987 because there weren't more efficient competitors
    out there with a better product and a better cost structure.

    The lesson of the last few years is that business environment
    represented by the $200,000 minicomputer is gone and will never return.

    The stock market crash of 1987 is discussed in the archived INVESTING
    conference on SUBWAY.  The greatest part of Digital's decline was after
    the crash.  Most other stocks recovered and have exceeded pre-1987
    prices years ago.
2642.5Clarification - 'Wall Street Bashing'ELMAGO::JMORALESMon Aug 30 1993 18:2731
    >>>> Only Digital can hurt/help itself.
    
    	100% in agreement
    
    >>>> Blaming Wall Street.
    
    	 I think when we say Wall Street is not literal.  We are not
    blaming Wall Street on our poor performance.   The poor performance is
    Digital's problem 100% owned by us (all).
    
    	When I refer to Wall Street short term mentality is the fact that
    most analysis (not all of them) are focused ONLY on Quarterly Revenues.
    However few of them really focused on: Management, Future Products,
    Long Term Feasibility, Technology, Leadership, among others.   Those
    are some of the things one company will have in the long range to be
    in a leadership position.
    
    	When our stock was at $199.00, no analyst was saying what we know
    now, the technology change of a $ 200,000.00 minicomputer was changing
    and a $ 50,000.00 or less computer will be able to do the work,
    therefore, Digital, et.al. will be uncompetitive from 1988 on if
    they do not scale down the cost/performance curve.
    
    	Another example (I will try to be futuristic, you do not have to
    agree).   I will say that INTEL is in the same position we were in
    1985-86, they have to do something to the X86 family of CPU's or they
    will suffer as we are doing.   Now correct me if I'm wrong, how many
    analysts are predicting something like this ?    Maybe, they are scared
    that it will not become true and moreover, INTEL right now is showing
    the best profit margins (just as we did in 1985-86-87) that they have
    ever enjoyed.
2642.6SDSVAX::SWEENEYVia,Veritas,VitaMon Aug 30 1993 20:1115
    I don't know any company that will say anything but that they are the
    "best" in:
    
    management
    future products
    long-term feasibility
    technology
    leadership
    
    The problem is the objective measurment of a company's performance from
    an owner's perspective is in the profits that company obtains.
    
    Look to this conference and others and you will see that in 1988, the
    company was talking about open client server systems but far to slow on
    the implementation to change Digital's competitive position and image.
2642.7In Agreement !!!!ELMAGO::JMORALESMon Aug 30 1993 22:1914
    Excellent point Pat !!!!
    
    	The problem is that the companies SAY that they are the best in
    management, future products, long term feasibility, technology and
    or leadership BUT DO NOTHING or very little to implement them.
    
    	All but Cost Competitiveness (read the note number 2635 I wrote)
    which as you and me have felt got implemented (TFSO, Salary Reductions,
    Benefit Reductions, Outside Training Cuts, Product Cuts, Service Cuts,
    Solution Cuts, everthing and anything cut for the COST FOR COST SAKE
    CAUSE.   The problem is that WE ONLY look at the numbers and what the
    numbers say, we don't look down enough to see other potential issues
    as the ones you have very well mentioned.
    
2642.8listen attentivelyGRANMA::FDEADYBig Time SensualityMon Aug 30 1993 23:416
    I believe BP and his SLT have a very definite long term plan, and are
    implementing it as we speak. IMHO BP IS NOT an example of the "Peter
    Principle". Short Term and Long Term are relative.
    
    	another .02
    		fred deady
2642.9SOFBAS::SHERMANC2508Tue Aug 31 1993 13:4024
    Top management in corporate America remains stubbornly insulated from
    the financial repercussions of their business decisions. Whether their
    companies do well or do poorly, almost without exception, top
    management is richly compensated.
    
    Especially egregious examples are Frank Lorenzo and W. Grace. Lorenzo
    was brought in to "save" Eastern Airlines. Two years later he had
    liquidated Eastern; _100,000_ people lost their jobs; and Lorenzo was
    paid 32 MILLION dollars for his time. Grace chaired a
    government-private industry study group on improving organizational
    efficiency. One of his recommendations was the elimination of pensions
    to retired government and military people to save money and the steep
    cut in pensions to retirees of private companies. Then, someone blew
    the whistle on Grace by revealing that _Grace_ collects an annual pension
    of over two MILLION dollars, revealing Grace to be just another selfish
    hypocrit.
    
    Until and unless top management shares the fallout from bad business
    decisions, there will be no change. Why _should_ there be when top
    people get rewarded absolutely, regardless of circimstances?
    
    kbs
    
                                                  
2642.10Doomsday.ELMAGO::JMORALESTue Aug 31 1993 17:4719
    Re: .9 SOFBAS::SHERMAN
    
    	In 150% agreement.    The real problem is not that top management
    gets compensated inrespective of economic/financial situation of the
    company, it is that top management even brings additional weight to
    the to be sunken ship with highly paid salaries to help them play
    the 'good ol' boy network' syndrome until the company die.   
    
    	In the meanwhile this corporate killers, play the high lifestyles
    of the rich and famous with our families income and our careers.
    People were crying Doomsday sayers, it seems that doomsday is here and
    now, if now read the press articles on what is happening in California,
    Mass. NY, accross the nation, the amount of 'white collar' employees
    that are 'on the streets' is incredible.   The worst problem, most are
    unable to find a job which pays them the amount of salary that they
    were earning, because our leaders have decided to ship those jobs
    out of the country.   So the amount of personal bankrupcy hace elevated
    over 100% in the last two years.   Now if that is not doomsday, then 
    someone please tell me what it is.