| Check out as well:
Montgomery Emerging Markets Fund
It's the only open-end emerging markets fund. It does no currency
hedging, preferring to buy in those countries whose currency is linked
to the dollar or, for non-linked currencies, in export-related
industries.
Emerging markets can be volatile. As an open-end fund, it must respond
to customers' redemption requests in times of downside volatility by
selling part of its portfolio. Closed-end funds are free to buy into
emerging market downturns. [More can be said on this topic, but I
wanted to leave room for others to jump in.]
|
| Scudder Latin America Fund, started in December 1992, quite the roller
coaster ride, but might prove interesting. No-load, but has a 2%
redemption for early withdraw (1 or 2 years not sure, and I should be
I'm in it).
michael
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| I'm in T. Rowe-Price New Asia. It took a bit of a tumble late last year, when
the hopes for a quick democracy in Hong Kong, I think, got squashed. When it
tumbled, I invested more. It's been up nicely since then, and jumped a bit
last week (when the DOW dropped 80) because some respected (by 40% of population
in China) fortune teller predicted a strong market this year. :-) Seriously.
John Piekos
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| Anyone have any opinion on the soaring emerging market funds like
Fido Emerging Markets, Fido SE Asia Fund, Price New Asia? I've
been reading about them being highly overvalued, ready for a big
correction, etc. Eric Kobren says to stay away from them in his Fidelity
Insight Newsletter. The most recent issue of Smart Money magazine
had similar things to say. However, Sheldon Jacobs includes
both New Asia and Fido Emerging Markets in all of his model
portfolios.
You hate to take the huge capital gains hit by selling now
(especially if you got in over a year ago), but these funds are
at a very scary high.. I wouldn't put any more money into any of
them, but I wonder when to sell.
Any opinions on holding onto to any of the above mentioned funds
or maintaining them as part of the international diversification
of your retirement portfolio? Any opinions on whether they should be
"Holds" or "Sells"?
Diana
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| re <<< Note 389.7 by CADSYS::RUBIN "Diana, HLO2-2/G13, 225-4534" >>>
-< When to get out of emerging market funds.. >-
>Anyone have any opinion on the soaring emerging market funds like
>Fido Emerging Markets, Fido SE Asia Fund, Price New Asia? I've
>been reading about them being highly overvalued, ready for a big
>correction, etc. Eric Kobren says to stay away from them in his Fidelity
>Insight Newsletter. The most recent issue of Smart Money magazine
>had similar things to say. However, Sheldon Jacobs includes
>both New Asia and Fido Emerging Markets in all of his model
>portfolios.
These funds, I've found, are tied quite directly to the stock markets in the
countries where the investments are made. Back in Oct, Fido SE Asia was
trading around 11.50 a share. It shot up to 16+ a share recently, and
when the HK, Malasian, etc. markets started taking some big hits, so did
these funds. If you think those markets are in for some big gains, then
it would be a wise investment. The HK (Hong Kong) market went up something
like 115% (+/-) last year, so those with investments there did quite well.
Many other asian markets also did quite well last year. Will they do it
again in '94? I dunno; I guess my advice is to follow those markets,
and buy on the lows.
Personally, I'm in a japan fund. this one, like many of the asian funds,
is somewhat tied to the NIKKI market - when it goes up, so does the fund.
Likewise, when it drops, the fund does too. My theory is that the Japanese
economy has reached bottom and is now ready for some recovery, actually,
some recoverty has already occurred in the NIKKI (bottomed out around 15k
and right now, it is around 19-20k). Earlier this week when the NIKKI
surged 7.8%, the japan fund I'm in went up 5% + ! but, likewise, a
couple of weeks ago when the NIKKI went down a lot, so did the fund. Some
forecasters are saying the NIKKI will end the year 24-25k, if this happens
to be true, I speculate the the japan funds will be some of the biggest
winners in '94. BUT, i also believe it is gonna be one helluva roller
coaster ride.
jc
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