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Conference nyoss1::market_investing

Title:Market Investing
Moderator:2155::michaud
Created:Thu Jan 23 1992
Last Modified:Thu Jun 05 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:1060
Total number of notes:10477

871.0. "Why are takeovers so complicated?" by 2099::REINIG (This too shall change) Tue Jun 06 1995 13:27

    One thing I don't understand about takeovers, (the latest being IBM's
    attempt to buy Lotus).  Why doesn't IBM simply start buying shares on
    the open market?
    
                                    August G. Reinig
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871.1NETRIX::michaudJeff Michaud, That GroupTue Jun 06 1995 13:502
	You can't own more than 5% of a given company without having
	filed with the SEC.
871.2Legal hassles for large shareholdersASDG::HORTONPaving the Info HighwayTue Jun 06 1995 16:116
     ...and there are all kinds of knots with which different folks
     can tie you up once you go over 5 or 10 percent ownership.
     That's why most mutual funds avoid exceeding that percentage
     in any particular company (and, hence, why big cap stocks
     are so popular with the funds).
    
871.3It's hard to get in and out in the open marketEVMS::HALLYBFish have no concept of fireTue Jun 06 1995 16:2316
    ... and if you started buying in the open market the price would soon
    rise far above what you wanted to pay once word got out you were
    buying. (As it would, once you bought more than 5%)
    
    AND THEN, with your fists full of stock, suppose the U.S. "Justice"
    department decided you weren't allowed to complete the deal, as
    happened in The Intuit Affair. You'd be forced to sell the stock you
    had bought at a likely loss. Can you imagine what would happen to
    Intuit's price once word got out that Microsoft had to sell 20 million
    shares? A stampede for the exits, that's what.
    
    With a tender offer you don't have any such worries. Either you get
    what you want at your price, or you're off the hook at relatively
    little expense.
    
      John
871.4NETRIX::michaudJeff Michaud, That GroupTue Jun 06 1995 16:407
>     With a tender offer you don't have any such worries. Either you get
>     what you want at your price, or you're off the hook at relatively
>     little expense.

	BTW, in a takeover, or specifically in this case, are they only
	after buying 51% of the outstanding shares in order to have
	the controlling interest?
871.5I don't know this case specificallyEVMS::HALLYBFish have no concept of fireTue Jun 06 1995 19:3314
>	BTW, in a takeover, or specifically in this case, are they only
>	after buying 51% of the outstanding shares in order to have
>	the controlling interest?
    
    It depends on the circumstances of the offer. A company may want to buy
    ALL the shares tendered, only 51% of the outstanding, or possibly
    somewhere in between. In the "51%" case a company will pro-rate all
    blocks tendered and buy the same fraction of every block. So you could
    tender 1000 shares and end up selling 762, retaining the 238 unbought.
    
    I would not want to hold stock in a company that's >51% controlled by
    anybody except me. No chance to throw the bums out.
    
      John
871.6NETRIX::michaudJeff Michaud, That GroupTue Jun 06 1995 20:147
> It depends on the circumstances of the offer. A company may want to buy
> ALL the shares tendered, .....

	What if some shareholders try to hold out?  I assume they
	aren't allowed to hold out, that the shares no longer
	trade, and checks are mailed out to all the shareholders
	of record?
871.7What happens now?ADISSW::FERRINMon Jun 12 1995 13:156
    
    I have a very basic question about this take over.
    If I own say 100 shares of Lotus stock, what happens now?
    Do I get the equivalent in IBM shares? Is Lotus Stock still trading?
    
    Doug
871.8WHY didn't IBM buy-out MicrosoftCSCMA::BALICHWed Jun 21 1995 20:2011
    
    Here is probably stupid question:
    
    Since IBM bought Lotus, WHY didn't they just buy out Microsoft with
    there nearly 11 billion of cash on hand!   
    
    Microsoft has only 4.5 billion in sales.
    
    Anybody know why Microsoft wasn't the target of IBM instead of Lotus ?
    
    
871.9NLA0::ONOThe Wrong StuffWed Jun 21 1995 20:489
Well, Microsoft has on the order of 625M shares outstanding (per 
the 10-Q for 4QCY94).  At current prices of about $90/share, 
Microsoft's market capitalization is approximately $56B.

Pretty tough to get even a controlling interest for $11B. To take
over a company, you buy its stock.  Sales doesn't (really) enter
into the transaction. 

Wes
871.10QUEK::MOYMichael Moy, Oracle SQL Engineering, 603-881-1943Wed Jun 21 1995 20:554
    I read that the valuation of Microsoft was within $1 billion of IBM
    today.
    
    michael
871.11NLA0::ONOThe Wrong StuffWed Jun 21 1995 22:262
Yep. IBM has about 585M shares @ $97/share.  About $56.7B market 
cap.
871.12NLA0::ONOThe Wrong StuffWed Jun 21 1995 22:553
And for completeness sake, Digital has 144M shares @ $44.50/share 
for a market cap of $6.4B.  Now, IBM could have bought Digital 
for cash.
871.13QUEK::MOYMichael Moy, Oracle SQL Engineering, 603-881-1943Thu Jun 22 1995 01:576
    re: .12
    
    Maybe not. Lotus was around $30. IBM offered about double that. Don't
    know if this would be the case for Digital too.
    
    michael
871.14HDLITE::SCHAFERMark Schafer, Alpha Developer's supportThu Jun 22 1995 13:334
    So, who else has ~$6-20B in cash to buy us?  Why limit the field to
    IBM?
    
    Mark
871.1580% premium would work for me...POBOX::CORSONHigher, and a bit more to the rightThu Jun 22 1995 17:346
    
    	Anybody offers me $80/share for my Digital stock and it's theirs.
    On the other hand.....
    
    
    		the Greyhawk
871.16PCBUOA::KRATZThu Jun 22 1995 18:243
    ...and for quite a while last year, Microsoft's market capatilization
    was actually higher than IBM's.  IBM has since zoomed from 40ish to
    90ish and that's no longer true.
871.17NETRIX::michaudJeff Michaud, That GroupFri Jun 23 1995 04:243
	Doesn't Bill Gates still own a majority of the stock?  If so,
	wouldn't that make it impossible to be taken over unless Gates
	goes along?
871.18GUIDUK::ONOThe Wrong StuffFri Jun 23 1995 16:512
Per the 1994 proxy statement, Gates held almost 25% of the stock. 
Paul Allen held 9.9%, Steve Ballmer 5.2%