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Conference hydra::dejavu

Title:Psychic Phenomena
Notice:Please read note 1.0-1.* before writing
Moderator:JARETH::PAINTER
Created:Wed Jan 22 1986
Last Modified:Tue May 27 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:2143
Total number of notes:41773

84.0. "Research project" by DYO780::DYSERT (Barry Dysert) Thu Feb 20 1986 17:43

    I am conducting a test of psychic ability and am requesting your help.

    I assume that many of you are familiar with the old 5-card ESP test,
    wherein the tester has a deck of 25 cards, with one of 5 different
    symbols on a card (e.g. star, wavy line, etc.).  My test is pretty
    much the exact same thing, but it blocks out the human interface
    by having a machine randomly create the deck of "cards".
    
    The test base consists of 30 decks of cards, with each deck
    containing 25 cards.  Instead of the pictorial symbols, the cards
    are differentiated by having a number on each (1 through 5), i.e. there
    are 5 1's, 5 2's, 5 3's, 5 4's, and 5 5's per deck. 
    
    I would like all who are interested to tune into whatever predictive
    powers you have to try to ascertain the order of the cards in each
    of the 30 decks.  Please send me mail with your predictions and
    I will post the results here.  My reply will consist of the number
    of people responding and, the correct test base, and the statistical
    analysis of the correct responses.  I won't mention anyone's name,
    I am merely interested in seeing how accurately folks can predict
    a randomly-generated set of data.
    
    I would like to have all responses by Friday, Feb 28 (17:00 EST)
    and will post the result here early the following week.
    
    Please give me your predicted deck in a format similar to:
    
  1:  1  2  1  3  2  1  3  1  5  3  2  2  3  3  4  5  4  1  5  5  4  2  4  5  4
  2:  1  2  2  1  4  4  4  5  2  3  4  4  1  5  1  2  2  5  1  3  3  3  3  5  5
  3:  5  4  1  1  2  2  1  2  5  3  1  4  3  2  5  3  2  3  5  1  3  5  4  4  4
  .
  .
  .
 29:  4  1  2  1  3  4  4  3  5  5  4  5  3  5  4  2  2  1  3  3  5  1  2  1  2
 30:  3  1  2  3  4  1  4  4  3  1  5  4  2  2  5  5  2  5  5  3  4  2  3  1  1
    
    Thanks a lot in advance!
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84.1Details, please!PEN::KALLISThu Feb 20 1986 17:4910
    Two things that might assist us: could you do something to ensure
    we all have some iodea of which "end" is which on the decks?  I.e.,
    if they're in a line, orient them (say, East to West) and tell us
    which is Deck 1 (say, the easternmost one)?  This will help immenseluy.
    
    Also, with DECworld coming up, your deadline is a little rough on
    some of us.
    
    Steve Kallis, Jr.
    
84.2is this better?DYO780::DYSERTBarry DysertThu Feb 20 1986 18:0015
    I don't know how much more detail I can give you over the example in
    the base topic.  Each deck is represented as a row (horizontal line) of
    numbers.  The cards are presented in left-to-right order, with the
    left-most card being presented first, the right-most card being
    presented last.  The decks are numbered from 1 to 30 with the first
    deck in the test as the first (top-most) row and denoted by having the
    "1:" at the start of the line; the last deck in the test is the last
    (bottom-most) row and denoted by having the "30:" at the start of the
    line. 
    
    As far as the time limit is concerned, please do what you can. 
    If I don't get enough mailgrams by the cutoff date for the test
    to be meaningful I'll have no choice but to extend the date.
    
    Thanks again!
84.3Parametrizing...PEN::KALLISThu Feb 20 1986 19:1811
    re .2:
    
    Okay, but just to make sure:  If you have a sort of square matrix
    and you're facing it with the square North of you, the topmost deck
    runs West to East; if you're facing East, the topmost line runs
    North-South.  The idea of specifying an orientation is  so that
    you don't get say, an inverted matrix.  Some of these paranormal
    reradings _might_ have some spatial orientation.
    
    Steve Kallis, Jr.
    
84.4No orientation probably neededPBSVAX::COOPERTopher CooperThu Feb 20 1986 22:0526
RE: 84.1

    One of the "funny" things about ESP is that things like this doesn't
    usually effect it, with an important exception which I'll get to in a
    moment.

    One way of looking at it is that it is no harder to find out by ESP
    two things (e.g., the position/orientation of the target and its
    identity) as one thing (its identity).  This doesn't mean that if you
    guess one you'll probably guess the other, since that requires two
    *separate* guesses.  It's only if a single guess requires both (or more)
    pieces of information simultaneously that this applies.

    How much general this is is a little hard to say, but it definitely
    applies to tests of this kind.  Its on precisely this kind of test that
    this was discovered.

    The big exception is that people are much likely to do poorly if they
    believe that they are doing something harder.  There is a tendency for
    ESP to act whatever way we expect.  In other words, if it really worries
    you it may cause problems.  If you can accept my word for it that you
    don't need the information then you won't.  If it bothers you slightly,
    then try picturing a particular orientation.  Whether or not its the
    right one, it will give your subconscious something to focus on.

		    Topher
84.5Pre-cog or ESP?USHS01::MCALLISTERThe Shadow Knows ...Fri Feb 21 1986 11:557
    I get the impression that this is more of a pre-cog type test. 
    Unless someone has the decks laid out and viewed, then the usual
    force called ESP would not be applicable.  I gathered that this
    was randomly generated "decks".  Will they be viewed by "someone"
    to force an ESP type test, or are we looking at a Pre-cog type test?
                                               
    Dave
84.6ESP vs. pre-cogDYO780::DYSERTBarry DysertFri Feb 21 1986 14:1618
    Dave (.5) makes a good point.  I could have conducted the
    test either way, but I think logistics prevent my performing it
    as a true ESP test.  I say that because for the ESP-style test to
    work I would probably have to announce a time where I would look
    at the decks and focus on them for a while.  Although I'm not opposed
    to doing that, I doubt that as many people from all over the world
    would be able to, say, devote 30 minutes at 12:00 EST on Feb 24.
    Hence, I went with this more "pre-cog" test in hopes of getting
    more participants (although to date I have no participants).
    
    The ESP idea may work if one can "queue up" ESP waves. Would you all
    buy into the results if I looked at the decks at a given time, and then
    you could attempt to access whatever you access in order to receive my
    (previous) thoughts on the decks?

    If you folks here think that I'd have better luck with an actual ESP
    test, reply here (including ideas on how to overcome the logistic
    problems) and we'll go for it that way.  Thanks.
84.7Pre-cog or ESPPBSVAX::COOPERTopher CooperFri Feb 21 1986 15:3386
RE: 84.5

    We have a problem of terminology.  I keep on meaning to write a full
    terminology note, but haven't had time.  This partial one will have to
    do for now.

    The term ESP is a technical term from parapsychology, having a fairly
    precise meaning.

    The terms from parapsychology I'll be defining are based on the
    classification of various phenomena.

    Classification is based essentially on the conditions of testing rather
    than any implied intrinsic differences among them.  This is because we
    don't know whether two psi phenomena which appear different really have
    exactly the same cause or whether two psi phenomena which appear the
    same really have different causes.  The classification scheme,
    attempting to avoid the assumptions of unproven theories, is based on
    our ability to distinguish circumstances.  Never-the-less, it is at
    times somewhat arbitrary.

    Most parapsychology today studies one of two broad classifications of
    phenomena: psychokinesis (PK) and extrasensory perception (ESP).  There
    are lots of other phenomena (such as poltergeists, apparitions, and
    post-mortem survival) which are also studied by parapsychologists but
    this is not currently the main effort.

    Roughly speaking, PK is the ability to effect things outside of our own
    bodies without using normal means such as our muscles -- to move them,
    change their temperature, effect how they fall, etc.

    ESP is the ability to know things we don't "normally" have any way of
    knowing.

    One form of ESP is "clairvoyance" which is knowing about things which
    currently exist but which, because of distance or physical barriers,
    we have no normal way of knowing about.

    Another form of ESP is "precognition" which is knowing about something
    which does not yet exist and which there is no reasonable way of
    deducing from things which currently exist.  We only speak about
    precognition when we can pretty much eliminate the possibility of
    clairvoyance.

    Another form, only occasionally spoken about, is "retrocognition",
    which is knowing about something which occurred in the past.  In a test
    we can only know that correct retrocognition has taken place if some
    form of record is kept for us to check against.  The ESP connection may
    have been made to the record rather than the event, so retrocognition
    is viewed as a special case of clairvoyance, in which the apparent
    target is a past event rather than, say a card image in the present.

    Historically the first type of ESP studied was "telepathy" the ability
    of one person to know what another is thinking when that could not be
    deduced normally.  Telepathy might also be a form of PK since the
    "agent" (person who's "mind is being read") might be "projecting" their
    thoughts to the "percipient" (person who's "reading the other's mind").
    When telepathy is being thought of this way this is sometimes called
    "active agent telepathy".

    Telepathy suffers from a similar problem as retrocognition.  To make an
    objective test, without problems of the agent's memory possibly being
    distorted, an external record has to be made at some point.  If this is
    done at or before the time the percipient tries to guess, then this
    might be a case of clairvoyance.  If this is done after the percipient
    guesses then this might be a case of precognition.  In either case,
    telepathy cannot really be distinguished from the other two.

    However, it is frequently the case that it is useful, for psychological
    reasons if for no others, to act as if you were doing a telepathy test.
    So if someone is concentrating on, or at least looking at, the targets
    when the test is performed than this is called a "general ESP" or
    "GESP" test.  This is to help remind researchers that the target might
    be either the agent's record or the agent's mind.  Some writers and
    researchers just go ahead and use the term telepathy, figuring that the
    distinction is now well known and doesn't have to be emphasized.

    You seem to be confusing the term GESP, which would require Barry or
    someone else to look at the targets, with ESP which doesn't make that
    requirement.  Whether the test is precognition or clairvoyance depends
    on whether or Barry generates the targets before or after the guesses
    are made, and if after, whether or not he does it in such a way (such
    as looking in specific place in a table of random numbers) that the
    results could have been predicted beforehand if someone knew enough.

			Topher
84.8What Happened?OLD750::MCCUTCHENFri Jul 04 1986 20:034
    What were the results of the experiment?
    
    					/s/ Terry