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Conference 7.286::digital

Title:The Digital way of working
Moderator:QUARK::LIONELON
Created:Fri Feb 14 1986
Last Modified:Fri Jun 06 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:5321
Total number of notes:139771

738.0. "Working at Digital in the year 2000" by DR::BLINN (An ill-cooked chicken has died in vain) Fri Mar 03 1989 17:51

        This has been widely distributed.  I've tried to get the author's
        permission to post it, but he's out of the office, so I'm putting
        it here anyway, because it makes for very interesting and thought
        provoking reading.
        
        Tom
        
From:	PIC::STCYR        "DAVE 223-2877" 27-FEB-1989 09:02
To:	DR::BLINN
Subj:	ORIGINAL SUSSMAN MEMO on the Work Force 2000 (I still had it).dave

From:	ESOCTS::SURETTE "15-Feb-1989 1303" 15-FEB-1989 13:22
Subj:	Sussman on the future...fyi

From:	ISTG::LUND "XCON Program Office  15-Feb-1989 1016" 15-FEB-1989 10:15
Subj:	changes in population by 2000 - fyi

From:	NROMTS::NROMTS::MRGATE::"RG5MTS::NHL::A1::NAISMITH" 15-FEB-1989 06:08:38.67
Subj:	Work Force 2000 -- fyi

From:	NAME: Bob Naismith @WJO             
	FUNC: US Manufacturing        
	TEL: 282-1391  WJO2 1/B09 <NAISMITH AT A1 at NHL at WJO>

From:	NAME: TOBY SANDLER @VRO             
	FUNC: DIS MGMT CONSULT.       
	TEL: 273-5136/VRO3-2/B7   <SANDLER.TOBY AT A08 AT RELIEF AT VRO>
Date:	30-Jan-1989
Posted-date: 13-Feb-1989
Precedence: 1
Subject: I - Report on Sussman presentation re: Workforce 2000

To:	See Below

    On January 23 I attended a presentation on "The Workforce in the Year 
    2000" by Harris Sussman, senior consultant for Corporate Personnel.  
    He was presenting at the monthly meeting of the Information 
    Management Women's group.  Thus, he focused his remarks on issues 
    relating to women and information management.
    
    Sussman's style of presentation is quite dynamic and animated.  He 
    quotes a diverse variety of resources and makes his points appear 
    "evident" by citing statistics.  I highly recommend him as a speaker, 
    especially for people whose work is strategic.
    
    I found his remarks quite stimulating, thought provoking and relevant 
    to our strategic work.  I've summarized my notes, which reflect my 
    perceptions except where I've quoted Sussman directly.  
    
    For me, there were 4 very significant observations made by Sussman,
    as summarized below.  Further comments on these observations are 
    marked by as asterick (*) in my notes.
    
    1. On a worldwide basis people are living longer and the largest age 
    group in the workforce are the baby boomers (currently in their 30's 
    and 40's.)  Due to the quantity of people in this boom generation, 
    their major life stages will have a great impact on society.  E.g. a 
    large number of people buying homes, death of parents, retiring, etc.  
    Thus, in the 1990's the single issue that will affect them is the 
    chronic illness or death of a parent.  "We will have a workforce in 
    mourning," states Sussman, which has its effect on employee 
    performance in the workforce.
    
    2. A greater percentage of the world's population and DEC customers 
    are from the non-Industrialized Nations.  These people speak a 
    variety of languages, which causes different approaches to logic, 
    problem solving, how information is managed and product requirements.
    Thus, Sussman points out, it is paramount that we consider the 
    background, culture and language of our future customers when 
    developing software.
     
    3. The number of temporary, part-time and flex-time workers is 
    increasing.  And the majority of these workers are women and 
    non-white males.  Thus, a greater percentage of the full-time 
    employees are white males.  I wonder how this affects who are the 
    makers of significant decisions?
    
    4. Given the rapid pace of change (in business and on a personal 
    level), the single most important ability of successful businesses is 
    to have an environment that supports employees being able to 
    continually learn and thus, to adapt better to change.
    
    Many senior women from IS were in the audience and, if you were not 
    able to attend, I encourage you to speak with the women in your group 
    who did attend.  The presentation contained many challenges and 
    opportunities for information management at DEC.
    
       _______________________________________________________________
    
             NOTES FROM SPEECH BY HARRIS SUSSMAN, January, 1989
                        "WORKFORCE IN THE YEAR 2000"
    
    Sussman began by stating that everyone who will be working in the 
    year 2000 is already born -- because 2000 is only 11 years away!
    
    Given computer and networking capabilities "half the people at DEC 
    don't need to come to DEC to do their work."  Information management 
    technology redefines and redesigns the nature of work and 
    organizations.
    
    Re: DEC:
    .  Currently there are 125,019 employees.
    .  More than half these employees have been with the company 4 years 
       or less.
    .  Average age of US employee is 37 years.
    .  38% of our employees work outside USA.
    .  There are 170 countries in the world.  This is 2 times as many as 
       at the end of World War II.  DEC has a presence in about 60-70 of 
       these countries.
    .  Given DEC's tendency to measure a manager's effectiveness on how 
       well the cost center is managed, Sussman poses this question:  
       "How do we do macro-accounting on behalf of the company and not 
       micro-accounting on behalf of the cost center?...We need to think 
       globally, not locally."  This implies that to succeed as an 
       international/global (macro) business, we need to manage and 
       reward for macro business decisions.  
    .  As of Feb. 5, 1988 there are 13,879 cost centers worldwide.
    
    Currently in the USA the average married couple has more living 
    parents than children.
       * In the 1990's the biggest effect on the workforce will be the 
       death of parents.  Current research indicates that today's 
       workforce is affected by having aging and dying parents through an 
       increase in unscheduled days off, depression, personal crises, 
       personal calls at work, etc.
    
       * Thus, a company's and manager's ability to employ and manage 
       baby boomers whose parents are elderly, chronically ill or dying 
       is a major issues for the 90's.  Sussman states that between 
       having aging parents and an increase in the number of AIDS 
       victims, it will appear that many employees are going to a 
       "funeral a week"!
    
    "Work Skills for the 1990's" as reported in Information Society, 
    1982:
       . Evaluation and analysis
       . Critical thinking
       . Application to new areas
       . Creativity
       . Communication skills in many modes
       . Problem solving (including math)
       . Organization and reference
       . Synthesis
       . Decision making with incomplete information
    Perhaps these skills are what we need to be interviewing and hiring 
    new employees for.
    
    US High School Class of 2000:
       . 1 in 4 is poor
       . 14% are children of teen-age mothers
       . 15% are immigrants whose primary language is not English
       . 1 in 6 has no health insurance
       . 25% will not graduate high school
    
    The USA in 1988:
    .  1/4 of US workforce is in their 30's.
    .  Are 5 times more widows than widowers.
       According to Sussman widows live longer than widowers because, 
       among other factors, they have a larger social support system.  He 
       suggests that "the best investment for old age is to make a lot of 
       friends" rather than have a lot of possessions.
    .  The only age group in which there is an increase in smoking is 
       teen-age girls.
    *  More contract, temporary and part-time workers are appearing at 
       all levels.  They tend to be female or non-white.
           Thus, there is an increase in the percentage of white males 
           who are full-time employees.  
    .  75% of new business start-ups are female-owned, according to the 
       Small Business Administration.
    .  15% of new employees entering the workforce are white males.
    .  In the Los Angeles Public Schools the students speak 81 different 
       languages (as their primary language.)
    *  In the Cambridge, MA Public Schools the students represent 64 
       nationalities and speak 46 languages.
           Different languages reflect different logic and frames of 
           reference.  This can affect methods of software development 
           and approaches to problem solving and information management.
    
    Given the upcoming workforce demographics Sussman encouraged us to 
    work to enable "place free and time free work."  Which requires a 
    change in management style and performance measurements.  In the 
    Industrial Age managers measured where and when employees worked.  
    For the Information Age (which many researchers say we are currently 
    in), Sussman recommends measuring what and how we work.
       . This requires more than a change in vocabulary.  Also requires 
       changes in managerial behaviors and corporate reward systems.     
    
    To drive home the fact that a growing percentage of the world's 
    population are not from the Industrialized Nations, Sussman states 
    that to maintain current world population each woman needs to give 
    birth to 2.1 children.  However:
       US birthrate is 1.8
       Canada's birthrate is 1.67
       Europe's birthrate is 1.4
    By 2100 5% of the world population will be from the Industrialized 
    Nations.  (I wonder if in the year 2100 the current category of 
    "industrialized nations" will include other countries.)
    
    * Sussman ended by stating that given the tremendous future changes 
    in technology, style of work, personal/family issues, world economics 
    and politics, etc. for a business to be successful it "must create an 
    environment in which people can learn" -- continually.  This will be 
    the single most important aspect enabling us to manage change 
    effectively.
    

Distribution List: [removed]
T.RTitleUserPersonal
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738.1A different viewBOLT::MINOWWhy doesn't someone make a simple Risk chip?Mon Mar 06 1989 14:2268
re: .0:
>             NOTES FROM SPEECH BY HARRIS SUSSMAN, January, 1989
>                        "WORKFORCE IN THE YEAR 2000"
>    
>    Given computer and networking capabilities "half the people at DEC 
>    don't need to come to DEC to do their work."  Information management 
>    technology redefines and redesigns the nature of work and 
>    organizations.

Although information management technology redefines the nature of work,
it does not redefine the nature of people.  I.e., contrary to the
Dec slogan of a few years ago, we do NOT change the way people work,
except on the superficial level of changing the tools they use.  What
is more important, is that we do not change the way people perceive
their work, or the way in which their work fits into their greater
social existance.

As a contrary opinion, here are some notes from a conference held in
1980 in Sweden on "the office of the future."  (I wasn't there, but
was sent conference proceedings).

Christina Gustafson, who was on the governing board of the Volvo local
of the Swedish Engineer's union discussed changes in the work environment.
She noted that an anaysis of changes must start from an understanding of
the meaning of work for the individual:

-- Economic security: salary.
-- Social status: the way in which one's work is perceived by others.
-- Sense of community: the way in which one retains contact with
   one's collegues.
-- Use and development of one's resources: the way in which work
   educates and enriches one's own existance.

The assumption that employees need not "come to DEC to do their work"
focusses primarily on economic security.  People who "never come to Dec"
will have difficulty in retaining the network of social contacts that are
an essential part of the work environment.  It will also be more difficult
for them to gain recognition for their efforts.  Furthermore, the lack
of opportunities to develop interpersonal communication skills will make
it more difficult for entry-level employees to move up to management
positions, which necessarily require greater negotiation and communication
skills.

In another presentation, Jacob Palme, who developed the COM computer
conferencing system (similar to Notes, but with a few additional capabilities)
Pointed out that negotiations are better if done face-to-face:

  "Teleconferencing is not a replacement for face-to-face meetings.
  The former has, in part, other functions and can be used as a complement
  between live meetings and to reach a larger circle of people than those
  who have the time and ability to travel to a meeting.

  However, there are tasks, such as very complex negotiations, that are
  much simpler to handle at face-to-face meetings.  Meetings give a
  completely different direct contact than what is possible by a
  teleconference.  In the future, we will be able to choose the
  best form of communication for every task.

  Here are some situations where teleconferencing is useable:

  -- Exchange of experience between people with similar jobs but who are
     located in different places.
  -- Exchange of experience between the users of a common computer system
     including the contact between the users and the developers.
  -- Contact between a geographically spread out group that is working
     towards a common goal.
  -- Questions, even when you don't know who has the answer.

738.2Working at home: good deal all around?DELNI::JONGSteve Jong/NaC PubsMon Mar 06 1989 17:1924
    I have heard Dr. Sussman speak (around Christmas time, which is
    NOT the time to hear him speak!), and I thought his points were
    fascinating, if somewhat more appropriate for the Ford Hall Forum
    than a corporation...
    
    How ironic that someone should question the value of teleconferencing
    in a Notesfile!  I don't want to disagree, but [.1] set me imagining
    what would happen if the occupants of my facility (some 1,000
    employees) worked primarily from their homes instead of their offices.
    Remember that overhead for white-collar workers approaches 100% of
    their salaries. The company would save considerably on the expenses of
    building and operating a full-sized office building (meeting rooms
    would suffice); employees would save considerably on commuting costs;
    the country as a whole would enjoy a little less pollution from
    automobiles.  It's not clear to me that a distributed workforce needs
    or permits the same management structure; we may need fewer chiefs!
    
    Without sitting down to do a financial analysis, I'd
    guess Digital could give each of us a top-of-the-line workstation
    and a decent laser printer, pay the telecommunications charges,
    and STILL save a significant amount of money each year. 

    I acknowledge but won't comment on the issues of merging home and
    work time, advancing one's career, and the loss of the power lunch.
738.3I resemble that remark!GUIDUK::BURKEMeet my pet wolverine: FANG.Sat Mar 25 1989 03:3731
    Re: < Note 738.1 by BOLT::MINOW >

> The assumption that employees need not "come to DEC to do their work"
> focusses primarily on economic security.  People who "never come to Dec"
> will have difficulty in retaining the network of social contacts that are
> an essential part of the work environment.  It will also be more difficult
> for them to gain recognition for their efforts.  Furthermore, the lack
> of opportunities to develop interpersonal communication skills will make
> it more difficult for entry-level employees to move up to management
> positions, which necessarily require greater negotiation and communication
> skills.

    I beg to differ on the following points:
    
    1.  Some of us software specialists out in the field go on residencies
    for years at a time.  Yet, in the once every month or two times
    we manage to get into the office, we manage to maintain most of
    the necessary contacts.
    
    2.  You'd be surprised at the amount of recognition such specialists
    get.
    
    3.  Some people have absolutely no wish whatsoever to go into
    management.  I know some people who tolerate management, only because
    they believe that it's a necessary evil!
    
    Just wanted to show the other side of the coin, as there are people
    already working in the "not at the office" mode.  Granted, residencies
    are not quite the same thing, but they come close in some respects.
    
    Doug 
738.4Another reason it's hard to get a home terminal in EuropeCOVERT::COVERTJohn R. CovertSat Mar 25 1989 12:484
Interesting.

Trade unions in Europe are opposing work-at-home programs specifically because
of the social isolation of people who do not come into the office each day.
738.5LESLIE::LESLIEOld light, through New WindowsSat Mar 25 1989 17:579
    John,
    	 depending upon the function within Digital, home terminals are
    extremely easy to come by, as is a DEC-funded home phone line (like the 
    one I'm using right now).
    
    Some other functions (including one I've worked in) are not as
    accomodating.
    
    Andy in EUrope.
738.6No "works council" looking out for your social needsCOVERT::COVERTJohn R. CovertSat Mar 25 1989 18:201
Another one of the big differences between the U.K. and the Continent.
738.7LESLIE::LESLIEOld light, through New WindowsSat Mar 25 1989 20:283
    Oh, so you meant Germany, not Europe.
    
    A
738.8Not just Germany. See .1!!!!COVERT::COVERTJohn R. CovertSun Mar 26 1989 12:051
I meant several countries in Europe.
738.9HOCUS::KOZAKIEWICZShoes for industrySun Mar 26 1989 14:557
    The cynic in me says that this has much more to do with the interests
    of the unions than the workers.
    
    And John, I still think that's a great lookin' sailor suit!
    
    Al
    
738.10COVERT::COVERTJohn R. CovertSun Mar 26 1989 20:5213
>    The cynic in me says that this has much more to do with the interests
>    of the unions than the workers.

You mean, you think the unions want the people showing up at work so that
the union can organize, and that's what they mean by "social interaction?"

Sodium hydride.

>    And John, I still think that's a great lookin' sailor suit!

And our saucy ship's a beauty!

/john
738.11Chemistry 1SAUTER::SAUTERJohn SauterMon Mar 27 1989 11:309
    re: .10---"Sodium hydride".
    
    The faint glimmerings of Freshman Chemistry which remain in my brain
    after so many years of disuse (Chemistry, not the brain as a whole)
    responded "no, Hydrogen Sulfide!"  (after several false starts).  
    I'm sure John must mean something terribly clever by this phrase, 
    but I certainly don't know what it is.  Maybe "that stinks"?  Naw,
    not clever enough.
        John Sauter
738.12Homophonics?JOET::JOETQuestion authority.Mon Mar 27 1989 11:387
    re: .11
    
>    re: .10---"Sodium hydride". 
    
    Sodium hydroxide is lye.  Maybe that has something to do with it.
    
    -joe tomkowitz
738.13Sodium HydrideCOVERT::COVERTJohn R. CovertMon Mar 27 1989 12:433
>    Sodium hydroxide is lye.  Maybe that has something to do with it.

NaH
738.14Forgive rathole...SMOOT::ROTHGreen Acres is the place to be...Mon Mar 27 1989 13:401
Hmmm. My chemistry is faint, but I'd say you dare not mix it with water..
738.15BOLT::MINOWI'm the ERAMon Mar 27 1989 14:279
If you clowns will excuse a digression back to the topic... The comments
in my original posting were originally from a presentation by a Swedish
Trade Union specialist (and are about 10 years old).  Swedish unions are
organized on very different lines than Americans.   Since the European
manufacturers, with all of their union-mandated handicaps such as 5 week
vacations and high salaries are more than competitive with us, perhaps
there are things to be learned from their experiences.

Martin.
738.16Is it called "homework"??STRATA::BOURGAULTI have a story to tell.....Wed Mar 29 1989 07:2423
    The New England area went through the "home work"
    argument recently.  Seems the unions complained of
    people (usually women) producing knitted garments
    (ski caps, etc.) at home, in violation of a Federal
    statute against such.  Several union people admitted
    (off the record) that it would be almost impossible to
    get such people to join a union.... it was much better
    if they came to work in a factory, where they could
    be talked to, etc....
    
    One women (I read the interview in the local paper)
    had been knitting to supplement the family's income,
    while staying home with two young children.  She said
    she COULD pay for child care, go to work in a union 
    shop, and so on.... but the gain to the family income
    would be almost zero that way.... and she STILL would
    not be spending time with the children....  
    
    
    As for .9 and subsequent "chemical notes"....
        Butyl Mercaptan.
    
                                 - Ed -
738.17HYDRA::ECKERTJerry EckertWed Mar 29 1989 17:304
    re: .16  (butyl mercaptan)
    
    Ed, are you referring specifically to the mercapto- portion of the
    molecule?  8-)
738.18Let me ask the source....LUDWIG::BOURGAULTI have a story to tell.....Thu Mar 30 1989 08:0110
    Hmmmmm....   I'm not sure I know.  
    
    Let me ask my pet skunk.  He's the one that actually
    produces this marvelous substance, so he should know,
    shouldn't he?  Maybe if I asked the right way, he'd
    be willing to contribute a little bit for analysis??
    
    Should I send you a sample??    %-)
    
                              - Ed - 
738.19A (partial) view from EuropeBISTRO::BREICHNERWed May 17 1989 12:2819
    re: several back, Unions, Germany, etc....
    Having lived the growth of DEC France and observed DEC Germany's
    over the past 20 years, I'd say that despite all the mournings
    about unions and worklaws "interfering" with DEC Germany's and
    individual employee interests,... it didn't work out that bad
    for neither DEC nor the employees. I'm not sure that France is
    better off with less of "union interference".
    With regards to these and maybe other Euro-countries, as long as
    a company is small enough to have approachable managers with real
    decision power on personnel issues, you don't really need them (Unions).
    Once the managers start to say " I can't decide, it's personnel,
    it's xxMT whatsoever,...it might be useful to have some sort of
    "organized" and as well anonymous counterweight.
    Today's traditional unions are certainly unable to cope with
    new styles of working such as from home, as they still have to
    catch up with the already existing reality. 
    But there could be unions in the future able to support the
    "home-based" workforce. (If you give them NOTES ferinstance !)
    Fred