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Conference quark::mennotes

Title:Discussions of topics pertaining to men
Notice:Please read all replies to note 1
Moderator:QUARK::LIONELE
Created:Thu Jan 21 1993
Last Modified:Fri Jun 06 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:268
Total number of notes:12755

220.0. "Are you a believer?" by RANGER::GOBLE () Fri May 17 1996 14:11

Influential Study on Divorce Erred on Statistics

The Boston Globe
May 17, 1996

ASSOCIATED PRESS

It was a stunning statistic, and it was
influential in the movement to change US
divorce and child support laws.

Eleven years ago, the socialogist Lenore
J. Weitzman published "The Divorce
Revolution," her groundbreaking study of
California's no-fault divorce system.  In
it, she reported that women's households
suffered a 73 percent drop in their standard
of living in the first year after divorce,
while men's households enjoyed a 42 percent
rise.

Since then, the figures have been quoted
hundreds of times in newspapers, speeches
and court rulings.

There's one problem: Her figures are wrong.

Richard R. Peterson, a New Your sociologist
who reanalyzed Weitzman's data from computer
and paper records archived at Radcliffe
College's Murray Research Center, found a 27
percent decline in women's post-divorce
standard of living and a 10 percent increase
in men's -- still a serious gap, but not the
catastrophic one that Weitzman saw.

Weitzman, a professor of sociology and law at
George Mason University in Fairfax, Va. now
acknowledges her figures were wrong.  She
blames the loss of her original computer data
file, a weighting error or a mistake in the
calculations performed by a research
assistant.

But "I'm responsible -- I reported it," she says.

T.RTitleUserPersonal
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220.1CSC32::HADDOCKSaddle RozinanteFri May 17 1996 14:267
    What's the bets that that is the _only_ time we see _that_ report?
    
    Also has been discussed here before that if you figure in child
    support and taxes paid on pre-child support income, it is the NCP'S 
    standard of living that drops like a rock.
    
    fred();
220.2NAC::TRAMP::GRADYSquash that bug! (tm)Fri May 17 1996 15:475
So....who's got the garbanzos sufficient to cross-post that one in =wn=

;-)

tim
220.3.2MKOTS3::RAUHI survived the Cruel SpaFri May 17 1996 15:502
    Why would someone want to pee on an electric fence.:) 
    
220.4BIGQ::GARDNERjustme....jacquiFri May 17 1996 16:099
    It may be posted if one gets written permission from the 
    source.  

    justme....jacqui
    co-mod =wn=


    
220.5QUARK::LIONELFree advice is worth every centFri May 17 1996 16:435
Digital policy does not require permission for articles sourced from outside.
I suppose one could argue about copyright "fair use" considerations - my
take on it is that it is fair use.

					Steve
220.6MROA::YANNEKISFri May 17 1996 17:0215
    
> So....who's got the garbanzos sufficient to cross-post that one in =wn=

    I'd bet the reaction would be something like.  "OK the original report
    was off but the basic premise is still correct. Men are better off and
    women a lot worse off after divorce."  Given the base note a comment
    like that would be fair IMO.  What is the bigger problem ... reporting
    problems in the studies and the media or equitable divorce settlements? 

    Personally I'd like to see enough detail about stuff like the  items in
    .1 so I could form an informed opinion of the situation overall (I know
    lots of anedotes of both sides).                       
                                    
    Greg
    
220.7MKOTS3::RAUHI survived the Cruel SpaFri May 17 1996 17:112
    Bet you the =wm- files already have a copy.:)
    
220.8CSC32::HADDOCKSaddle RozinanteFri May 17 1996 17:5038
        re .6

>    Personally I'd like to see enough detail about stuff like the  items in
>    .1 so I could form an informed opinion of the situation overall (I know
>    lots of anedotes of both sides).                       

    Somebody gave a rundown in one of the other notes in this conference
    a while back on the child support payments and tax burdens.  I don't
    have the time right now to go look it up.  Maybe the person who put
    it in can give a pointer.  Anyway after taking out  all the different
    taxes, child support, auto license, etc, it seems like it boiled down
    that a NCP in Ma. that makes $50K/yr ends up with about $8k/yr to live
    on, and maybe support a second family.

    Just a few intuitive observations:
    Total tax burden on a person's income works out to about 43% by the
    time you figure Federal, FICA, Medicare, State, local, property, sales,
    etc.  Somewhere in May 1-5 (depending on who you're talking to) is 
    "tax freedom day".  That is the amount of time you work since the first 
    of January to pay your taxes.

    Child support is not deductible.  It is tax-free to the NCP.  The CP
    gets the child deductions unless specifically stated in the custody
    orders.  Most states base child support on gross (before tax) income.
    Seems like Ma. is something like 40%,  Colo is based on some dollar
    amount worked out by some formula based on gross income of both
    parents.  But again remember that the money to the CP is tax free.
    So given 40+% tax and 40% "child support".  The NCP is left with
    something like 17%, or $8,500 out of $50,000 in "disposable income".

    And you wondered why you were eating hot-dogs while the ex is driving
    a new car and everyone is telling you how much worse off divorced
    women are than divorced men.  And given that, in most states, being
    one dollar short in the payments is just as bad as not paying at all,
    you wonder why so many men just say "sc%%% it" and walk away, and it's
    getting harder and harder to walk away.

    fred();
220.9MROA::SPICERMon May 20 1996 15:2412
    Is this report about the incomes of divorced men versus divorced women, 
    ie no children involved.
    
    If this is the case then it just represents 2 people getting back to 
    supporting themselves, and I don't what it proves other than there is
    still a disparity in pay.
    
    If it purports to represent the average divorce, including those that
    involve children an child support, then I'd love to know where it was
    done because moving there would save me from financial ruin.
    
    Martin   
220.10MKOTS3::RAUHI survived the Cruel SpaMon May 20 1996 16:434
    Whelp... there are groups that are hell bent on stopping studies to be
    done to show that men wind up sleeping in cars, on couchs, and in tents
    along the Merrimack river.