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Conference nyoss1::market_investing

Title:Market Investing
Moderator:2155::michaud
Created:Thu Jan 23 1992
Last Modified:Thu Jun 05 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:1060
Total number of notes:10477

753.0. "Newbridge Networks?" by RUMOR::FALEK (ex-TU58 King) Wed Aug 03 1994 16:52

    Does anyone have an opinion on Newbridge Networks (NNCXF) ?
    The stock has been quite volatile, going from around 40-->73 last
    year, then back to 40, and has recently been weak. It lost 13+
    points Monday upon announcement that earnings might disappoint
    analysts. Its around 29 now.
T.RTitleUserPersonal
Name
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753.1Yes I have an OPINION...POBOX::PATELTue Aug 09 1994 15:1623
    I follow this stock and some of it's products.  I think the world is
    not really ready for ATM in the way that NNCXF is building it's market
    - thru' the Bell companies that are standardizzing on their products. 
    There is not std that is popular but NNCXF may be able to influence
    that call if they build enough of a market share. 
    
    Sprint also has partnered with them to use their equipment.  One of my
    peers have sold their product to one of our customers here and we will
    be finding out how they work very shortly.
    
    Technically, the stock has been very very weak for a long time - If I
    were the type of person that shorted stocks, I would have done it three
    times to NNCXF all the way from 60 to the current $29.  By the way the
    charts show that the short positions should be covered at this time. 
    So it is a Short Term BUY signal on NNCXF.  Don't ask WHY !!!!!. 
    
    So, BOTTOM LINE - Do I like NNCXF? - YES YES.  BUT would I jump in now
    - NO NO.  Just Follow It and See what HAPPENS. 
    
    Good Luck 
    
    Ken
    
753.2NNCFXCAPNET::ROSCHTue Aug 09 1994 16:39193
Newbridge Ntwks                  Ticker: NNCXF      Price: 34.38   
600 March Road                                            
Kanata, Ontario       CN     K2K 2E6                (613) 591-3600

    Exchange: NASDAQ Nat'l Market   
Dow Averages: No                 Shadow Stock: 
                                              [ ]    Optionable:[X]
 S&P Indexes: No            

Description:  Make/mkt integrated digital networking            

                                 | Industry # 11     |  Industry # 111
                         Company |Communications     |Communications           
                                 |                   |
Multiples                        |                   |
 Price/Earnings .........  24.0  |        31.0       |         31.0
 Price/Earnings-5yr Avg..    NA  |        18.6       |         18.6
 Price/Book .............   8.84 |         2.55      |          2.55
 Price/Sales ............   6.9  |         1.5       |          1.5
 Price/Cash flow.........  21.9  |        12.2       |         12.2
 Dividend Yield (%)......   0.0  |         0.0       |          0.0
PE to Growth Ratio.......   0.8  |         1.2       |          1.2
                                 |                   |
Annual Growth Rates              |                   |
 Revenue (%).............  37.7  |        21.4       |         21.4
 Cost of Goods Sold (%)..  36.7  |        10.8       |         10.8
 Gross Operating Inc (%).  38.1  |        15.3       |         15.3
 Net Income (%)..........  54.9  |         7.5       |          7.5
 EPS-Total (%)...........  30.6  |         7.7       |          7.7
 EPS-Continuing (%)......  30.6  |         5.7       |          5.7
 Cash Flow (%)...........  36.1  |
                                 |         8.8       |          8.8
 Dividend (%)............   0.0  |         0.0       |          0.0


I/B/E/S EARNINGS ESTIMATES

EPS-Cont for Latest Fiscal Year (93/04)($).     0.64
EPS-Cont for Last 12 Months($).............     1.43

Historic Growth (5 yr. Annualized)(%)......     30.6

                         Current   Previous
                         Month's   Month's     High      Low
                         Estimate  Estimate  Estimate  Estimate
                         --------  --------  --------  --------
EPS-Cont for Current
Fiscal Year (   NA)($)..      NA        NA        NA        NA

EPS-Cont for Next
Fiscal Year (   NA)($)..      NA        NA        NA        NA


Long-term growth(%).....      NA        NA        NA        NA
                                                                          

Newbridge Ntwks                  Ticker: NNCXF      Price: 34.38   

INCOME STATEMENT DATA

Indicated Dividend ($):    0.00

                                      Quarterly, Ending
                           94/04      94/01      93/10      93/07
                         --------   --------   --------   --------
EPS-Total ($)...........     0.43       0.39       0.36       0.32
EPS-Continuing ($)......     0.43       0.39       0.36       0.32
Dividend ($)............     0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00

                           93/04      93/01      92/10      92/07
                         --------   --------   --------   --------
EPS ($).................     0.26       0.19       0.12       0.09
EPS-Continuing ($)......     0.26       0.19       0.12       0.09
Dividend ($)............     0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00

                                                               
                Last                    Annual, Ending
              12 Months    93/04     92/04       91/04      90/04      89/04
             ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Sales $M....      399.6      242.0      152.1      129.3      104.0       67.4
CoGS $M.....       98.8       75.7       51.0       40.8       30.5       21.7
Gr Op Inc $M      300.8      166.3      101.1       88.5       73.5       45.7
Net Inc $M..      114.1       47.2        8.2      -10.3        3.3        8.2

Gr Margin %.       75.3       68.7       66.5       68.4       70.7       67.8
Net Margin %       28.6       19.5        5.4       -8.0        3.2       12.2

EPS-Total $.       1.43       0.64       0.12      -0.15       0.06       0.22
EPS-Cont $..       1.43       0.64       0.12      -0.15       0.06       0.22
Cash Flow $.       1.57       0.79       0.30       0.01       0.13       0.23
Dividend $..       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00
Payout Ratio        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0

Shares (Mil)       80.3       78.9       70.3       67.6       67.0       45.0
                                                                          

Newbridge Ntwks                  Ticker: NNCXF      Price: 34.38   

BALANCE SHEET ($ in Millions)                                         
                                               Annual, Ending
                                   93/04           92/04           91/04
                               --------------  --------------  --------------
Current Assets.................         235.3            84.7            75.4
Net Fixed Assets...............          52.3            52.0            54.5
Other Non-Current Assets.......          14.4            12.6            11.0
                               --------------  --------------  --------------
 Total Assets..................         302.0           149.3           140.9
                               ==============  ==============  ==============


Current Liabilities............          62.2            30.3            26.7
Long-Term Debt.................          11.4            23.1            27.3
Other Non-Current Liabilities..           1.7             3.9             0.6
                               --------------  --------------  --------------
 Total Liabilities.............          75.3            57.3            54.6

Preferred Stock................           0.0             0.0             0.0
Common Stock Equity............         226.7            92.0            86.3
                               --------------  --------------  --------------
 Total Liabilities & Equity....         302.0           149.3           140.9
                               ==============  ==============  ==============


Total Capitalization...........         238.1           115.1           113.6



                                        Industry # 11      Industry # 111
RATIOS                       Company |Communications   |Communications          
                                     |                 |
Profitability:                       |                 |
                                                       |
 Gross Profit Margin (%)....    75.3 |        53.4     |         53.4
 Net Profit Margin (%)......    28.6 |         2.5     |          2.5
 Return on Total Assets (%).    37.4 |         3.8     |          3.8
 Return on Equity (%).......    36.8 |         7.5     |          7.5
                                     |                 |
Liquidity:                           |                 |
 Quick Ratio................     3.4 |         1.8     |          1.8
 Current Ratio..............     3.8 |         2.9     |          2.9
                                     |                 |
Debt Management:                     |                 |
 Tot Liab to Tot Assets (%).    24.9 |        43.3     |         43.3
 LT Debt to Capital (%).....     4.8 |         9.5     |          9.5
                                     |                 |
Asset Management:                    |                 |
 Total Asset Turnover Ratio.     1.3 |         1.0     |          1.0


Newbridge Ntwks                  Ticker: NNCXF      Price: 34.38   

SHARE SUMMARY

Price Last: 34.38       52-Week High: 73.88       52-Week Low: 28.38   

                      Last       1 Qtr      2 Qtr      3 Qtr      4 Qtr
                     Quarter      Ago        Ago        Ago        Ago
                    --------   --------   --------   --------   --------
Price Close ($)....    34.38      54.63      54.75      67.13      47.50


                      1993       1992       1991       1990       1989
                    --------   --------   --------   --------   --------
Price Close ($)....    54.75      20.63       3.81       1.63       7.44
      High ($).....    73.88      21.63       4.84       7.75       8.88
      Low ($)......    19.13       3.81       1.56       1.50       5.56


Moving Average-200 Day ($)............      55.68
Relative Strength-52 Week (%).........         70
Beta..................................       1.98

Average Weekly Volume-52 Week.........      74268
Market Capitalization ($Million)......     2760.7
Institutional Holdings (% of Shrs)....       40.8


VALUATIONS
                                   EPS   | Dividends | Cash Flow |   Sales   |
Current Marke Multiplier: m ...     24.0 |********   |    21.9   |     6.9   |
                                         |           |           |           |
Latest Reported ($/shr): lr ...     1.43 |    0.00   |    1.57   |    4.98   |
                                         |           |           |           |
Annual Growth Rate (%): g .....     30.6 |     0.0   |    36.1   |    37.7   |
                                         |           |           |           |
Trend ($): t = lr * (1 + g) ...     1.87 |    0.00   |    2.14   |    6.85   |
                                         |           |           |           |
 Valuation ($): v = m * t .....    44.82 |      NC   |   46.80   |   47.28   |
                                         |
                                         |
PE Average Market Multiplier: m       NA |
                                         |
 Valuation ($): v = m * t .....       NC |  



753.3Where did the financial information come from ??BLOFLY::SMITHPBeware the knights who say "NT"...Tue Aug 09 1994 23:399
    re .2 
    
    Where did this information come from ?  Is there an on-line source for
    the financials of all NASDAQ stocks??
    
    
    Thanks,
    
    Peter.
753.4American Assoc of Individua InvestorsMARIN::DODGEWed Aug 10 1994 16:284
    The stock info provided in an earlier note looked like the output of
    the AAII Stock Investor software.  It costs around $99 per year and
    includes 4 quarterly updates.  It is very good at doing screens and
    comparisons.  It is not an on line up to the minute monitor.
753.5Anything New at Newbridge?NQOS01::nqsrv311.nqo.dec.com::ThompsonkrKris ThompsonMon Feb 12 1996 19:220
753.6Trying againNQOS01::nqsrv101.nqo.dec.com::ThompsonkrKris ThompsonMon Feb 12 1996 19:3013
Sorry about the aborted reply; trying this the first time on my
lap top.

I went to my first AAII seminar on Saturday and ending up talking
to a woman who has been in in investment club for about six years.
She said they've been averaging a 28% return and she told me about 
all the through research and analysis they do before making a 
presentation (they follow the NAIC format).

I then asked her what the club likes now and is buying.  She 
immediately said "Newbridge Networks."  I haven't had time to do 
any research myself - are there any current opinions?  Any new 
info?