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Conference nyoss1::market_investing

Title:Market Investing
Moderator:2155::michaud
Created:Thu Jan 23 1992
Last Modified:Thu Jun 05 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:1060
Total number of notes:10477

518.0. "Gold funds: will they continue to be hot?" by ZENDIA::FERGUSON (Your recipe is so tasty) Wed Jul 07 1993 13:16

	The second quarter has ended and the hot investments were in Gold
oriented funds and international funds.  For 2 quarters running, Gold funds
have dominitated the list of top-performing mutual funds.

	My question to this forum is:  will the Gold-oriented funds continue
their outstanding performance for the next quarter?  next 2 quarters?  How 
about international funds?

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518.1For Sophisticated Investors Only...MPGS::BEAULIEUMon Jul 12 1993 20:366
    I am not an expert by any means so I wouldn't even try to predict how
    long the "gold rush" might last, however, Select funds, such as Gold or
    Biotech (which concentrate on one industry) are probably the most volitile 
    funds you will find and therefore are probably better left alone (unless 
    you really know what you're doing and can stand the risk). 
     
518.2Bail at first sign of troubleKOALA::BOUCHARDThe enemy is wiseMon Jul 12 1993 20:489
    re: .0
    
    As one who has been in gold funds for the last two quarters, and is
    very happy, I don't see much reason for gold to advance beyond $400/oz,
    so I expect to sell out and take profits almost as soon as it looks
    like the price is starting to drift.
    
    And, as .1 noted, funds like this are at the high-end of the risk scale
    relative to other mutual funds
518.3ZENDIA::FERGUSONYour recipe is so tastyMon Jul 12 1993 21:117
Interesting comments.  I was in boston this weekend at the Jewlery Building
talking to a store-owner there.  He speculated that Gold is going to go up
to the mid 400s...

Don't know what he knows, but, nevertheless, another datapoint.


518.4Another point to consider...MPGS::BEAULIEUTue Jul 13 1993 16:4713
    Eventhough Charles Givens (author "Wealth Without Risk" and many
    others) is on the hot seat right now about some of his advice, he makes a 
    good point about gold as an investment. He says that in the 1890's or 
    whatever an ounce of gold costs about the same as a tailored man's suit 
    and that today in 1993 an ounce of gold still costs about the same as a 
    tailored man's suit. Yes, it has had up's and downs in between but still 
    comes out to just about keep pace with inflation. As far as buying gold as 
    a hedge against inflation, he says that the loss here comes when you sell 
    and have to pay a 28% capital gains tax. 
    
    
     
    
518.5New tax on mining on Federal lands.MARVA1::BUCHMANUNIX refugee in a VMS worldWed Nov 24 1993 20:1711
    I heard on National Public Radio last week that the House of
    Representatives passed a bill to levy an 8% tax on the value of all
    minerals extracted from federal lands. (This strikes me as just good
    sense, if true). Historically, minerals found on federal lands by
    people with the proper permits were essentially free; also, federal
    land could be bought by mining concerns at a ridiculously low price --
    something around $2/acre -- which has not changed since the late 1800s.
    
    Does anyone have details on this? Will it cause mining stocks to go
    down? The price of gold to go up? I'm going to look into this further.
    			Jim
518.6New taxes is just the first of many lawsVMSDEV::HALLYBFish have no concept of fireSat Nov 27 1993 17:4816
    I agree that our mining laws were written for a different time, and
    need to be updated. The 8% tax is but one of many salvos to be fired
    into the mining industry; the environmental laws to come will be far
    more dangerous. I suspect the Clinton administration will tend to err
    on the green side after decades of neglect that benefited the gold side.
    (I'm -trying- to be apolitical about this! Right/wrong are irrelevant.)
    
    This leads me to believe that the best bets in the gold mining industry
    will be the large, established companies. They have the cash to lobby
    Washington. The smaller companies, usually those involved in exploration 
    and early development, will end up regulated to death and will likely
    end up owned by the large companies.
    
    Invest accordingly.
    
      John (who sees gold going to $461)