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Conference nyoss1::market_investing

Title:Market Investing
Moderator:2155::michaud
Created:Thu Jan 23 1992
Last Modified:Thu Jun 05 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:1060
Total number of notes:10477

473.0. "Natural Gas" by SFC01::SFC01::SMITHP (Written but not read) Tue May 18 1993 20:37

What is your opinons on Natural Gas. Seems to have been talked about a fair
amount lately in the press but I have not seem it addressed in this notes file.
Natural Gas Boom, Bust or so-so?
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473.1US News & Wrld Rpt of 5/17NECSC::BIELSKIStan B.Tue May 18 1993 21:125
    The May 17 issue of US News & World Report (p.54) has an article 
    titled "Fueling the future" that is postive about natural gas.
    
    The subtitle: Natural gas is hot and could fulfill its fiery potential in
    		  the 1990s.
473.2NOTIME::SACKSGerald Sacks ZKO2-3/N30 DTN:381-2085Wed May 19 1993 15:503
> Natural Gas Boom

Let's hope not.
473.3Past results are no guarantee . . .LEDS::DJBROWNWed May 19 1993 16:142
    Look at the rise in natural gas prices over the past year.
    Are they likely to double again?
473.4What goes around comes aroundVMSDEV::HALLYBFish have no concept of fireWed May 19 1993 17:074
>    Look at the rise in natural gas prices over the past year.
>    Are they likely to double again?
    
    I heard a similar comment about Microsoft a couple years ago . . .
473.5Gas for long term growth!KYOA::BOYLEDirty Jobs Done Dirt CheapWed May 19 1993 17:5633
    I am assuming you are referring to a purchase of Gas stocks, not some
    futures on the natural gas itself.
    
    Knowing something about utilities in general (working as support on a
    utilities account base for Digital [You decide whether this makes me
    qualified to provide the following information]), Utilities are doing well 
    in general due primarily to the low interest rates.  Low interest rates
    are a double whammy for utilities.
    
    1.  Utilities are capital and debt intensive.  Lower interest rates are
    possibly a direct benefit to the bottom line.
    
    2.  For the stock price, low risk investors look to the constant
    utility yields to offset the lowering of yields on bonds, etc.
    
    Now, I think that we have seen the biggest short term share price increases
    already.  I would not anticipate an additional doubling of share
    prices.
    
    As a note for growth, I went to a gas utilities shareholder's meeting
    the other day.  He sees the biggest growth opportunity for gas being in
    natural gas powered vehicles.  Especially here in NYC, alternate fuel
    vehicles are going to be required shortly.  He stated that for each
    natural gas vehicle equals about one house in average fuel consumption. 
    Each NYC taxi is equal to about 7 houses in average fuel consumption. 
    The point is that this CEO felt that, in the not too distant future, he
    can foresee almost doubling his gas business by selling to fleet
    vehicles.  Now this is big news.  Who knows what that means for share
    price?  It certainly can't hurt!
    
    Anyway,  thats my 2 cents.
    
    Jack Boyle