| I am assuming you are referring to a purchase of Gas stocks, not some
futures on the natural gas itself.
Knowing something about utilities in general (working as support on a
utilities account base for Digital [You decide whether this makes me
qualified to provide the following information]), Utilities are doing well
in general due primarily to the low interest rates. Low interest rates
are a double whammy for utilities.
1. Utilities are capital and debt intensive. Lower interest rates are
possibly a direct benefit to the bottom line.
2. For the stock price, low risk investors look to the constant
utility yields to offset the lowering of yields on bonds, etc.
Now, I think that we have seen the biggest short term share price increases
already. I would not anticipate an additional doubling of share
prices.
As a note for growth, I went to a gas utilities shareholder's meeting
the other day. He sees the biggest growth opportunity for gas being in
natural gas powered vehicles. Especially here in NYC, alternate fuel
vehicles are going to be required shortly. He stated that for each
natural gas vehicle equals about one house in average fuel consumption.
Each NYC taxi is equal to about 7 houses in average fuel consumption.
The point is that this CEO felt that, in the not too distant future, he
can foresee almost doubling his gas business by selling to fleet
vehicles. Now this is big news. Who knows what that means for share
price? It certainly can't hurt!
Anyway, thats my 2 cents.
Jack Boyle
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