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Conference nyoss1::market_investing

Title:Market Investing
Moderator:2155::michaud
Created:Thu Jan 23 1992
Last Modified:Thu Jun 05 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:1060
Total number of notes:10477

222.0. "Mortgage re-newal during U.S. elections." by KAOFS::M_MORIN (Le diable est aux vaches!) Wed Jun 17 1992 12:48

Interest rates are very low right now and I'm due to renew my mortgage in
August.  I'd like to lock my rate in for as long as I could.  I have a choice
between a 5-year 9.625% rate and a 4-year 9.375% rate which would be due to
re-new around the time of the next U.S. election.

Someone told me that interest rates are usually low around the time
of U.S. elections.

Does anyone know if this is true or not?

Thanks,

/Mario
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222.1NOTIME::SACKSGerald Sacks ZKO2-3/N30 DTN:381-2085Wed Jun 17 1992 13:562
You're in Canada, right?  Could you explain what you mean by 5-year and 4-year
mortgages?  Are these balloon mortgages?
222.24-year, 5-year term.KAOFS::M_MORINLe diable est aux vaches!Wed Jun 17 1992 15:5813
Yes, Canada.

5-year term, 4-year term?  Means the rate is locked in for that long.  After
that you have to re-new again.  Isn't that the way it works in the U.S?  I
think that you guys have 10-year and longer terms also.

In any case, question remains.  Do interest rates usually go down around the
U.S. election time?

Thanks,

Mario
222.3Not that I can seeVMSDEV::HALLYBFish have no concept of fire.Wed Jun 17 1992 17:2910
    		Summer	November
    					Based on a chart of 30-year
    1980	 9.2%	  12.7%		U.S. Treasury bond futures,
    					shown at left, I would  say
    1984	13.5%	  11.0%		the answer is NO.  There is
    					also no apparent pattern in
    1988	 9.7%	   8.8%		the year after elections so
    					it looks like you take your
    					best guess and hope ...
      John