T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
---|
5277.1 | Deep Blue won't win! | NETCAD::GENOVA | | Tue May 06 1997 19:49 | 24 |
|
The odds are not even as you say, Kasparov has the advantage.
I firmly believe that Gary threw a couple of the first games, so that
interest would peak, and the prize money would increase.
Deep Blue, is only as good as the programmers program.
The fact that it can process 200,000 or whatever moves per second is
in material to whether or not the moves are "good" or "bad" moves.
Good or bad moves are defined in the context of the Chess
masters/programmers/advisors perspectives, not by whether or not
they are in fact the "best" moves.
I submit that Gary would beat all of the chess masters collectively,
and thus would still beat their collective Deep Blue effort.
Of course, it will be a close match, sweat will appear on Gary's
forhead, and in the end he will pocket another $500,000.
Yahoo, for Gary!
/art
|
5277.2 | | STAR::COPE | | Tue May 06 1997 20:14 | 21 |
| It's 200 million positions a second for Deep Blue; I'm not sure what
kind of systems Kasparov's using. DB's current incarnation is an MPP
(512-processor?) RS/6000. Evaluating lots of chess positions
parallelizes well, so he with the most processors wins.
Re: .1: As for "throwing" games, I tend to think the human grandmasters
watching (and commenting on) the match would pick up on any questionable
strategy. These games are probably analyzed as much or more than any in
tournament chess history. I do agree that Kasparov has the advantage,
though.
Those of you with a spare PC can watch the match at www.chess.ibm.com -
I've been glancing over at the game now and then this afternoon.
RE: .0:
Sure, it'd be nice to have Alpha systems doing stuff like this, but
IBM has been in this one from the beginning... we're certainly not
getting in on it at this point.
IBM knows how to use those R&D and marketing dollars...
|
5277.3 | | WIBBIN::NOYCE | Pulling weeds, pickin' stones | Tue May 06 1997 20:17 | 6 |
| > DB's current incarnation is an MPP (512-processor?) RS/6000.
IBM tries to make this look like an off-the-shelf supercomputer, but it's not.
Attached to each processor is a bunch of specialized hardware for evaluating
chessboards. If it were done purely with software and general-purpose
processors it would be a couple of orders of magnitude slower.
|
5277.4 | | EDSCLU::JAYAKUMAR | | Tue May 06 1997 20:27 | 3 |
| Just tried http://www.chess.ibm.com, and it timed out with no response.
May be they need some fast AlphaServers to handle their web traffic :-)
|
5277.5 | More quality marketing by IBM | 12680::MCCUSKER | | Tue May 06 1997 21:34 | 6 |
| >IBM tries to make this look like an off-the-shelf supercomputer, but it's not.
Actually, they are making it look like a computer. Thats all that matters to
most of the population. IBM continues to grow its name recognition, and it
doesn't matter whats in the box. Its another piece of marketing, something
we really don't understand.
|
5277.6 | yes it looks starnge ok | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Wed May 07 1997 08:52 | 24 |
| >> I firmly believe that Gary threw a couple of the first games, so that
interest would peak, and the prize money would increase.
This was my suspicion last time, although I would simply say there is a
conflict of interest which does not make the table level. However, we
now apparently have a case to work on. Smart Gary apparently resigned a
drawn position, so he either shot himself in the foot or he was
subconsciously planning to lose. Also, Deep Blue may have blundered by
offering him the stalemate. There is a strong smell of fish, in any
case.
After the last match an article appeared in Digital Today reporting on
a match between an Alphastation 500 and Judit Polgar, the world's top
woman chess player. The article stated that Digital Israel was working
with the developer's of the chess program Junior to improve it and take
advantage of 64 bit technology. That was in October 96. I wonder if
there has been any development. Also, wasn't there some kind of "chess
software" match held recently? Apparently it was another chess program
which discovered that Gary had 'thrown' the match against Deep Blue.
Big Blue has not won this one yet.
..Kevin..
|
5277.7 | btw his first name is Garry | ATZIS3::UHL | let all my pushes be popped | Wed May 07 1997 17:56 | 3 |
| according to Newsweek (May 5, 1997) VLSI Technology Inc. provided the
(IBM co-designed) custom chess processing chips integrated into the IBM
Deep Blue machine.
|
5277.8 | | DECC::OUELLETTE | mudseason into blackfly season | Wed May 07 1997 19:53 | 5 |
| > (512-processor?)
Yesterday's Globe had an article reporting DB to be 32 node machine.
I think they called it an RS/6000 SP2CP. The physical dimentions
and weight (1.4 tons?) made it sound about the size of a TurboLaser.
|
5277.9 | Still not sure | DEMAND::KAMINSKY | | Wed May 07 1997 21:16 | 4 |
| Sooo, would it be easy, difficult, or near impossible to have an Alpha
machine eclipse the IBM # of moves/second processing time???
Ken
|
5277.10 | Not that easy | smurf.zk3.dec.com::PBECK | Paul Beck | Wed May 07 1997 21:36 | 10 |
| > <<< Note 5277.9 by DEMAND::KAMINSKY >>>
> -< Still not sure >-
>
> Sooo, would it be easy, difficult, or near impossible to have an Alpha
> machine eclipse the IBM # of moves/second processing time???
>
> Ken
First you'd have to have a microchannel interface into which to plug the
specialized chess analysis boards.
|
5277.11 | | MRPTH1::16.121.160.239::slab | labounty@mail.dec.com | Thu May 08 1997 04:21 | 8 |
|
> After the last match an article appeared in Digital Today reporting on
> a match between an Alphastation 500 and Judit Polgar, the world's top
> woman chess player. The article stated that Digital Israel was working
Yeah, don't tell the outside world about this or anything ... let's just keep it
between us.
|
5277.12 | | CONSLT::OWEN | Stop Global Whining | Thu May 08 1997 11:51 | 9 |
| re .6
> Big Blue has not won this one yet.
Au contraire. Whether the human or the computer wins the match, Big Blue has
won this one by a landslide...
A company can not pay for this sort of publicity...
|
5277.13 | perception is reality | EDSCLU::JAYAKUMAR | | Thu May 08 1997 17:40 | 69 |
5277.14 | | TLE::REAGAN | All of this chaos makes perfect sense | Thu May 08 1997 18:45 | 11 |
| I was listening to Howard Stern this morning (no comments please on my
"taste" (or lack thereof)) and he said:
"God, I love IBM. I love that IBM invented a computer that can
beat a world chess champion."
Now of course we understand that it is more complicated than that.
Its more than just a computer, but here's the "perception is
reality" concept again.
-John
|
5277.15 | Is Deep Blue a wolf in sheeps (Rs./6000sp) clothing? | NETCAD::BATTERSBY | | Thu May 08 1997 19:53 | 14 |
| Now this is interesting. I'm wondering if the AP wire service
still has this wrong. I remember reading earlier (when Deep Blue
was first announced), when the publicity first came out on it
playing chess vs a human, that it was either a radically modified
version of some production IBM machine, or that it was totally
custom. The mention of the Rs./6000sp in the previous note seems
to suggest that it isn't a custom machine. I think this is
mis-representing the facts.
Can anyone set this straight once and for all? Is Deep Blue a
spin-off of a production machine (Rs./6000sp), or is it a
totally customized machine built for only one purpose? I was under
the impression that it was the latter.
Bob
|
5277.16 | seems reasonable | DECCXL::OUELLETTE | mudseason into blackfly season | Thu May 08 1997 20:18 | 7 |
| The RS/6000 SP2CP would seem to imply that it is a modification of
an RS/6000 SP2. Each processor is certainly connected to a special
chess position evaluation board. That's probably the CP part.
Within the past 2 years there was a Scientific American article with
a photo of a custom board built by IBM. The photo in yesterday's
Boston Globe certainly looked like a regular RS/6000 SP2 box, but
boxes are boxes -- Digital reuses its boxes for many things too.
|
5277.17 | Pointer | smurf.zk3.dec.com::PBECK | Paul Beck | Thu May 08 1997 21:58 | 10 |
| Go to http://www.chess.ibm.com and click on "the players" to get a
description of the hardware. It is a combination of a standard
32-processor RS/6000 with a set of chess-specific option boards (so
that there are 8 chess-analyzing VLSI chips for each CPU in the
system for a total of 256 chess chips running in parallel).
Seems to be sorta like adding a video board with special MPEG
support in your PC -- you don't have a made-to-order MPEG processor,
but you do have a PC that does MPEG a whole lot better than the
average PC.
|
5277.18 | Is it really that fast ? | IMPERO::OSTORERO | Per fe ven-i 'd SW a-ij va tanta drugia | Fri May 09 1997 06:32 | 15 |
|
Well,
one of our customer has a brand new RS6000 (it's been dubbed "the Black
Venus" by the local DECcies ;-) in his computer room, sitting back to
back to a bunch of TurboLasers.
It happened that the Black thing was so slow in processing requests
coming from our systems that our programmer had to put a "sleep (1)"
inside the main processing loop.
Maybe the box is OK for playing chess and counting torchlights only ?
Ezio
|
5277.19 | so we have to change the perception, right? | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Fri May 09 1997 08:14 | 27 |
| >>Au contraire. Whether the human or the computer wins the match, Big
>>Blue has won this one by a landslide...
At the present time no doubt IBM is getting a lot of mileage out of
this. What I am suggesting is that computer chess technology is in a
primitive state at present and that is why they are looking good. Plus
they are playing Garry a lot of money and he is obliging them by
throwing in the towel and resigning a drawn position.
However, the publicity IBM got from the Atlanta Olympics was not
exactly bril was it. And it was another chess software that
discovered that both Garry and Deep Blue blundered.
My point is that the question remains unanswered: would a vlm
application running on alpha give us a competitive advantage in this
area and can we leverage it? To quote Shy Bushinsky, who is working on
this: "This summer we hope to work with Digital Israel to take full
advantage of Alpha's 64 bit architechture."
I could imagine the following situation: chess grand masters using a
vlm application on alpha to provide them with support for analysis in chess
competitions might have a competitive advantage. That would be a story
which would be nie to read, so please pull down the white flag and
let's see what we can come up with.
..Kevin..
|
5277.20 | Would be good pr | USCTR1::KAMINSKY | | Fri May 09 1997 12:26 | 16 |
| re:.19
>My point is that the question remains unanswered: would a vlm
>application running on alpha give us a competitive advantage in
>this area and can we leverage it?
I am thinking of a similar spin:
Digital helps Kasparov even the score. Digital's new Alpha technology
can analyze 400 million moves per second, doubling the existing
analysis speed of the IBM machine.
Says Kasparov, I never realized the IBM machine was so slow.
Ken
|
5277.21 | | TLE::EKLUND | Always smiling on the inside! | Fri May 09 1997 13:23 | 81 |
| I had resisted this thread until now, but now you have provoked
me to reply.
Chess playing programs have been around for a long time. I can
remember some of the early ones (mid 60's), and they were quite
remarkable. The rules are simple enough so that any competent student
should be able to write a program which plays legal games.
Then you just strap a "reasonable" static evaluation function on
it, add some code to look ahead a few levels, and wait for the
horsepower to improve to the point where the machine plays a good
game, right? Wrong. The big problem is that while all of these
areas have improved (dramatically) over the years, the stupid
machine still has no clue about strategy.
The biggest advances (and there HAVE been advances) have been in
endgame (small number of pieces) studies where the processing power
finally proves its worth. In fact the rules have been modified (what
a concept!) to allow for certain endgames which are now known to be
winnable, but NOT within the older limit of 50 moves. Anyway, the
point is that there have actually been some advances in knowledge
due to some brute force analysis made possible by current programs.
But the lack of strategy is such a handicap that even with special
hardware and the fastest of machines, at the highest levels the machine
is still woefully inadequate. Look at the kinds of comments that are
being made by those in the know - the machine just "does not play like
a human, and makes shortsighted mistakes".
So, you might counter, add a strategy routine. Easier said than
done. Much easier. In fact, this is where the best programs are
really better. This is also where the best humans are MUCH better.
That's why all the serious programs have professional grandmasters on
the programming teams.
Even with the fastest machines, one MUST limit the search space
(for it grows real fast in the early stages of the game). Of necessity
the program selects some number of moves to examine, and discards
others. Just like humans. But not a lot of time can be spent deciding
which ones to examine more deeply and which to discard. And one invariably
needs to do this WITHOUT examining the following lines. This is exactly
where the human wins.
If you don't believe this, consider the following. I was watching
Grandmaster Tal (a truly marvelous tactical player) in a simultaneous
event some years ago. He was playing about 40 opponents, moving from
one board to the next fairly rapidly. I was watching him play. There
was one position in particular, and I was familiar with the line of
play that had been used. Ths position was very interesting. Tal
stepped up to the board, spent only moments looking at it, and played
a move that I had not considered. Not at all. And it was a very, very
interesting move. So I stared at this position for quite some time,
asking myself why this move had been selected, and what it
accomplished.
To make a long story short, the move was really quite brilliant.
It had a long term effect that I had not considered. Not at all. And
of all the moves available, this was a move that I was not ever going
to consider making. I'm certain of that. That's the difference
between how a grandmaster views the possibilities within the position
and how an expert (which I am) views them. This was simply a move I
would not consider. And I would submit that the SAME thing would be
true of even the most sophisticated programs.
The bottom line is that humans think in terms of themes and ideas
and long term strategies. Machines tend to be just great at
calculation of long lines in limited positions and lousy in early
evaluations of the current position. Now all you artificial
intelligence advocates will reply that it is merely a matter of
programming, and you will continue to lose money to those with
the common sense to bet against your machine...
The effort to make even the most modest improvements in how the
machine looks at the game is huge. Gigantic. Staggeringly
difficult. Many have tried. The programs are good, but not great.
Great play is still a human thing, and I expect this to be true
for the forseeable future.
Cheers!
Dave Eklund
|
5277.22 | | UCXAXP.UCX.LKG.DEC.COM::GRADY | Squash that bug! (tm) | Fri May 09 1997 13:40 | 8 |
| Hey Dave,
What's the difference between a Chess Master and a Grandmaster?
Headwear? ;-)
Thanks for the insight, btw...
|
5277.23 | Seduced by Black Venus? | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Fri May 09 1997 14:21 | 16 |
| re .21
>But the lack of strategy is such a handicap that even with special
>hardware and the fastest of machines, at the highest levels the
>machine is still woefully inadequate.
Well that was my understanding of the conventional wisdom, but how is
it then that Deep Blue has beaten one Garry Kasparov twice, given that
Mr K is not exactly a beginner at the game. If the above statement is
true then the world is being hoaxed, isn't it? That has been my
suspicion all along. Kasparov 6 Deep Blue 0 is no story, but Kasparov 4
Deep Blue 2, thanks for the cheque, see you in 6 months, is nice work
if you can get it.
..Kevin..
|
5277.24 | | TLE::REAGAN | All of this chaos makes perfect sense | Fri May 09 1997 14:41 | 8 |
| In an interview after game 4, Garry said that he was getting tired
after several hours and his concentration was getting poor. He
admitted he had an advantage late in the game, but was unable to
capitalize on it. Deep Blue doesn't have the problem of getting
tired... For Garry against the computer, I would like to see the
time limit lifted or extended.
-John
|
5277.25 | IBM knows how to play the "game" with Howard Stern | STAR::jacobi.zko.dec.com::jacobi | Paul A. Jacobi - OpenVMS Systems Group | Fri May 09 1997 17:09 | 10 |
| I've often heard Howard Stern mention IBM. The rumor is that IBM
gave him a free laptop, free internet service, etc. IBM knows how to
play to marking game!
Of course, I not sure the value of having your company mentioned in
the same breath a naked-mud-wrestling-lesbians.
-Paul
|
5277.26 | | TLE::EKLUND | Always smiling on the inside! | Fri May 09 1997 21:44 | 40 |
| re .22
There are two international titles conferred by FIDE, the
most recognized international chess body - these are International
Grandmaster (IGM) and International Master (IM). Both of these
are "earned" by participating in recognized tournaments and
achieving certain "norms". These tournaments are rated by "category"
(strength of players).
For example, in a category 14 tournament, one might need to
score 10/14 to get an IGM norm, and 6/14 to get an IM norm (not the
real numbers). Then it takes a certain number of norms to be awarded
the title. I believe that it takes 3 IM norms to become an IM, and
don't remember how many to become an IGM.
Then there are titles from other "national" groups, like the
USCF (United States Chess Federation). For example we have titles
like master, senior master, expert, and various classes (a,b,c,d,...).
These titles are based only upon US ratings, which get adjusted by
playing in USCF sponsored tournaments. Generally speaking, these
rating groups are 200 points wide with master from 2200-2400, expert
from 2000-2200, senior master from 2400 on up, class a from 1800-2000,
etc. Bobby Fischer in his prime was about 27xx, and received his IGM
title somewhere around age 14. Roughly speaking there are not too
many players rated below about 2300 in this country who have IM titles,
and not too many below about 2450 with IGM titles.
Grandmaster Tal was one of the very best (in many ways), a world
champion at age 20 (the youngest), but with poor health over many
years. His games are a testimonial to his genius - many astonishingly
brilliant moves to entertain the crowds, sparkling combinations, and
few dull games. His play was largely intuitive in the purest sense.
He openly criticised the "children of the Informants", those who merely
memorized published lines of opening analysis. He was certainly
capable of eating computers/most humans for breakfast, lunch AND dinner...
although he might also lose games through holes in his intuitive
analysis (or weariness).
Cheers!
Dave Eklund
|
5277.27 | | BIGUN::nessus.cao.dec.com::Mayne | A wretched hive of scum and villainy | Sun May 11 1997 22:47 | 12 |
| Re .21:
> Chess playing programs have been around for a long time. I can
> remember some of the early ones (mid 60's), and they were quite
Early? In the mid 60s? You're forgetting the 18th century "Turk" automaton (but
you'll probably disqualify that. ;-)
BTW no prizes for guessing what comes up if you do an AltaVista search for
"chess".
PJDM
|
5277.28 | A lot of questions left now | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Mon May 12 1997 08:50 | 18 |
| re .21
Well the postulate you propesed in .21 Dave, that the computers are
"woefully inadequate" is looking a bit windy this morning. Deep Blue
beat Kasparov, after he lost in 19 moves, from what I heard on the
radio. Also, there was an interview with the chess correspondent of
the New York Times who said that computers have been able to beat 99%
up to now, but that now they have got to 100%. A lot of questions
arise out of this. Kasparov apparently said that Deep Blue was getting
"human help." He would "tear it apart" if Deep Blue played competitive
chess. Precisely what was the role of the grand master consultant who was
working for Deep Blue? Did he "coach" Deep Blue to take stategic
decisions ?
The first computer chess player beat Napoleon three times. It tuned out
there was a dwarf inside the box ? What is going on inside Deep Blue?
..Kevin..
|
5277.29 | Not yet... | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Mon May 12 1997 10:21 | 5 |
| Actually, they haven't reached 100%. I believe he won a match and 3
were draws out of the 6.
Chip
|
5277.30 | result is irelevant | IRNBRU::GIBBONS | | Mon May 12 1997 10:53 | 11 |
| Forget the result, just keep watching the publicity role in. The UK Sunday Times
had a front page article on Kasparov claiming deeper blue was 'cheating' and he
wanted to see why certain moves were played. In the Inovation section of the
paper was an explanation of how the technology behind deeper blue was going to
aid the drugs developers half time to market from average 12years to 6yrs.
Message of the article - if you need a superpowerful computer for fast multi
computation simulations - IBM are your people. The IBM person said deeper blue is
showing off technology they plan to release soon. Electronic copy of article is
on the ST web page - www.sunday-times.co.uk
Danny.
|
5277.31 | Why Kasparov ? | BIS1::WAUTERS | | Mon May 12 1997 11:37 | 2 |
| What about an "SP2 against TurboLaser" competition ?
Do we really need Kasparov after all ?
|
5277.32 | brings back memories | ROMOIS::ABRAMOVICI | Are you Micro-soft ? | Mon May 12 1997 11:43 | 14 |
|
Ha ! nice one :^)
A loooong time ago, in 1984, I had an HP PC (150B it was called) play
chess against a Macintosh (first version) just for the fun of it. The HP
salesman told hid management about it, and I was called in for an
interview, and that was how I got hired as a salesman in HP ! (sounds
ridiculous but it is the real truth). I lied. I told them the HP PC had
won !
I later left for a much better company called DEC (at that time it was..
..I mean called DEC)
Michel.
|
5277.33 | Dream on... | smurf.zk3.dec.com::PBECK | Paul Beck | Mon May 12 1997 11:48 | 9 |
| > <<< Note 5277.31 by BIS1::WAUTERS >>>
> -< Why Kasparov ? >-
>
> What about an "SP2 against TurboLaser" competition ?
> Do we really need Kasparov after all ?
First you have to get someone to design and build the custom chess
analysis boards for TurboLaser (as mentioned several places, this
was not an off-the-shelf SP2).
|
5277.34 | | QUARK::LIONEL | Free advice is worth every cent | Mon May 12 1997 12:59 | 3 |
| And then the software....
Steve
|
5277.35 | | INDYX::ram | Ram Rao, PBPGINFWMY | Mon May 12 1997 14:38 | 8 |
| > And then the software....
This is the key. The analysis of chess tends to be of exponential
complexity, unless careful algorithms can prune this to be more manageable.
In other words, a well designed chess program running on an Intel 8086
will likely outplay a brute-force program running on a 466 MHz Turbolaser.
Ram
|
5277.36 | | GVPROD::MSTEINER | | Mon May 12 1997 14:50 | 15 |
| >> And then the software....
Exactly, and this is not an easy part...
A fast computer (and custom hardware) is not the only thing that
is needed to play chess well. Don't forget that the commercial chess
programs that run on PC (Fritz, Genius, VirtualChess, etc...) already
beat 99% of the chess players on this planet, with hardware that is
far slower than what Deeper Blue has.
Someone wanting to beat Deeper Blue with Alpha + custom hardware would
also need to find out some people who have the same experiences with
chess programing that the Deeper Blue team has.
Michel.
|
5277.37 | 700k$ for win, more for defeat? | SAPEC3::TRINH | SAP Technology Center | Mon May 12 1997 15:12 | 10 |
| re .36
> Someone wanting to beat Deeper Blue with Alpha + custom hardware would
> also need to find out some people who have the same experiences with
> chess programing that the Deeper Blue team has.
I thought we first need Marketing ;-) Sorry, couldn't resist.
The question I try to answer is how you can be sure that Mr. Kasparow
doesn't get paid for losing the battle?
|
5277.38 | | QUARK::LIONEL | Free advice is worth every cent | Mon May 12 1997 15:18 | 3 |
| Kasparov got $400K for losing.
Steve
|
5277.39 | | DECC::OUELLETTE | mudseason into blackfly season | Mon May 12 1997 15:51 | 1 |
| DB got $700K for winning.
|
5277.40 | Confused | CIM2NI::CROSBY | | Mon May 12 1997 16:40 | 15 |
| Re: .31
That's the ticket!
Why doesn't DS challenge IBM?
If DS loses, who cares?...the company is now on the short list of 2 for major
wins....If this company is afraid of the good/bad/? publicity, or if it isn't
up to competing with IBM in a game scenario, how can they hope to compete in the
real world?
Do you think that words to this effect don't roll off IBM sales' tongues daily?
$.02
gc
|
5277.41 | | QUARK::LIONEL | Free advice is worth every cent | Mon May 12 1997 17:34 | 6 |
| What's the point? There would be little interest in a computer-computer
challenge, and if we weren't willing to invest the years and millions of
dollars it would take to develop the software and expertise IBM has, we
might as well not bother.
Steve
|
5277.42 | Deep Blue wins the match | SOS6::BERNARD | Bernard Ourghanlian, Alpha Resource Center | Mon May 12 1997 18:02 | 1 |
| And Deep Blue wins the match...
|
5277.43 | | DECCXL::WIBECAN | That's the way it is, in Engineering! | Mon May 12 1997 20:11 | 6 |
| >>What's the point? There would be little interest in a computer-computer
>>challenge,
What's the audience for the ACM computer chess championship?
Brian
|
5277.44 | | BIGUN::nessus.cao.dec.com::Mayne | A wretched hive of scum and villainy | Mon May 12 1997 22:06 | 5 |
| I'd rather see an ad that showed an office full of people obviously wasting time
playing chess, with the caption "Wouldn't you rather have your computer systems
doing real work?"
PJDM
|
5277.45 | how marketing works in the real world | EPS::MERMELL | Chess is NOT the Turing test | Mon May 12 1997 22:57 | 18 |
| By Fred Kaplan, Globe Staff, 05/12/97
NEW YORK - The
science-fiction nightmare came
true yesterday. Garry Kasparov,
the best chess player in the
world, perhaps of all time, was
beaten at his own game by a
computer.
The IBM RS-6000
supercomputer, known as Deep
Blue, not only beat Kasparov in
the last game of their six-game
match - it slaughtered him...
[of course, the RS-6000 is not a supercomputer,
and Deep Blue is not an RS-6000.]
|
5277.46 | | BIGUN::BAKER | Where is DIGITAL Modula-3? | Mon May 12 1997 23:24 | 4 |
| Why dont we do a Steve Jobs, Turbolaser plus 6 year old kid beats Deep
Blue, actually piloted by Kasparov? Just joking, IBM has this marketing
hook cold, you need to find something else to capture people's
imagination.
|
5277.47 | NOT man versus machine | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Tue May 13 1997 09:44 | 22 |
| It is clear that a master chess player should not have lost game 6 as
Kasparov did.
Secondly, the computer has been taught to play by a grand master,
it did not defeat him through mathematical analysis. It would seem,
(but we can't be sure) that Deep Blue recognised the position from
memory and played the move it had been taught to trap Kasparov with a
sucker punch. The suspicion is also that the computer had been taught
stategic rules by the grandmaster coaching it, that is why it kept attacking
and did not try to regain material. So what we have is computer/human
assisted chess v. Kasparov.
The future may be that we have a special form of chess developing,
namely computer assisted chess, just as we have simultaneous
exhibitions and 5 minute games. We might see players sponsored just as
racing cars are, and that would be an opportunity for Digital. I would
agree though that IBM has quite a lead on this, but in a competitive
context, other computer assisted players might find ways of catching
up.
..Kevin..
|
5277.48 | | REGENT::POWERS | | Tue May 13 1997 12:56 | 51 |
| > It is clear that a master chess player should not have lost game 6 as
> Kasparov did.
"Oh, I'm sorry - I should have caught that ground ball and thrown
that player out at first to win the game, but I made a mistake. Can we
do that batter over, please?"
He lost. If a player of Kasparov's ability makes a similar bad move one
in a thousand times, that's the way humans (at that level) play.
He lost. If this was his 1 in a thousand moves, that's what cost him
the game and match, just like Bill Buckner's one-in-a-hundred error
cost the Red Sox the 1986 World Series (not that it was ALL his fault).
> Secondly, the computer has been taught to play by a grand master,
> it did not defeat him through mathematical analysis. It would seem,
> (but we can't be sure) that Deep Blue recognised the position from
I'm not sure we know how Deep Blue was trained. Yes, there are Grandmasters
on the programming staff, but one very common method of chess programming
is self-teaching, that is, the computer plays its own games and learns
what works and what doesn't. The job of the GMs in that case is to analyze
the self-taught play of the computer and explain it to the rest of the
staff and to talk the computer out of strategies that look good
but are known to have deficiencies the computer hasn't found yet.
Note that this is the key part of the whole chess programming thing:
The 200 million positions per second stuff is fluff, merely
enabling technology. The hard part is the evaluation algorithm
built into that hardware that says "this position is better for me than
this other position." We don't know Deep Blue's evaluation algorithm
or how it was derived.
> The future may be that we have a special form of chess developing,
> namely computer assisted chess, just as we have simultaneous
> exhibitions and 5 minute games.
We already have this.
There is consideration that the rules of
chess matches should be changed so that adjournments (suspensions of play
that allow overnight analysis by the player, his team, and their computers)
can be avoided.
Correspondence (play-by-mail) chess is intended to promote deliberate,
analytic play, but more players are using computers to aid their research, and
such use is becoming a matter of questionable sportsmanship.
Every serious chess match has always involved analysis of the opponent's
game history. Now that analysis is being computerized to find weaknesses
in those opponent's playing styles.
- tom powers] (a very mediocre but experienced chess player)
|
5277.49 | a question of spin | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Tue May 13 1997 13:33 | 8 |
| re .48
Dunno about Bill Buckner, but my point is that Deep Blue did not win
game 6 because it played championship level chess, but because Kasparov
made a blunder which many good club players would avoid. International
Business Machines put a rather different spin on it.
..Kevin..
|
5277.50 | | TLE::REAGAN | All of this chaos makes perfect sense | Tue May 13 1997 13:39 | 10 |
| It would have only been fair if you could have found a human who
doesn't get tired, can think at several thousand of moves per second,
and can remember everything [s]he's been taught about chess at an
instant. Then, and only then, could we compare their chess ability.
The only thing it proved to me is that computers are very good at
fast data manipulation and information retrieval and processing.
Guess what? I already knew that...
-John
|
5277.51 | save yourself some typing | LGP30::FLEISCHER | without vision the people perish (DTN 381-0426 ZKO1-1) | Tue May 13 1997 14:28 | 7 |
| re Note 5277.49 by MKTCRV::MANNERINGS:
> International Business Machines put a rather different spin
> on it.
You can call them by their initials, IBM -- they don't mind.
:-}
|
5277.52 | What's so special about chess? | DECCXL::WIBECAN | That's the way it is, in Engineering! | Tue May 13 1997 15:11 | 35 |
| >> It would have only been fair if you could have found a human who
>> doesn't get tired, can think at several thousand of moves per second,
>> and can remember everything [s]he's been taught about chess at an
>> instant. Then, and only then, could we compare their chess ability.
[NOTE: I've quoted the above purely as an example; there are many comments in
this thread that share a similar view, in my opinion.]
Oh, come on. Are you going to claim that a game between a young prodigy with
nothing else to remember and an older wordly expert is unfair because the
prodigy can remember everything he's been taught? Are you going to claim that
a race between a horse and horseless carriage is unfair because the horse
doesn't have a gasoline engine?
How many human players have taken advantage of superior physical endurance,
mental toughness, and memory to defeat other humans? Is that unfair?
When computers do additions at great speed, and beat humans doing the same
task, do you cry foul as well?
Or do you want to handicap the computer so that it cannot take advantage of its
own assets (doesn't sleep, single-minded attention to a task, total recall,
etc.)? Why is that more fair?
What is so special about chess that the fact that it has been cracked to some
high degree by a computational method gets people so upset? It's like the
world has ended or something. Chess is fully open to mathematical analysis;
the only reason it resists the challenge is because it's complex. A game such
as bridge has a psychological element to it, where you try to mislead your
opponents or to communicate something to your partner with a highly limited
language, but chess is right there on the board, for all to see. I fully
expect computer bridge players to challenge champions, psychology or not; why
not chess?
Brian
|
5277.53 | | LEXS01::GINGER | Ron Ginger | Tue May 13 1997 15:16 | 18 |
| The chess aspects of this are interesting, but the marketing of it is
astounding. IBM has had front page coverage on every newspaper in the
country for days. Now its shifitng to more detailed articles like
todays Globe Business section with a story about the market for
supercomputers.
I have no idea what it cost IBM to carry this out, but Id guess not a lot
in the grand scale of things-a few dedicated guys woring on a fun
project, throwing a few $K at special boards. Do you want to guess what
the advertising is worth? You cant buy a column on the front page of
every daily newspaper for any ammount of money, yet IBM just got that
coverage.
Its to late to do chess, but we need to come up with some similar use
of computers, throw the ammount of money at it that it cost to produce
one monkey ad, and discover real marketing.
|
5277.54 | | EDSCLU::JAYAKUMAR | | Tue May 13 1997 15:30 | 3 |
| >> IBM has had front page coverage on every newspaper in the country for days.
Make that.. every newspaper in every other country in this small planet.
|
5277.55 | | TLE::REAGAN | All of this chaos makes perfect sense | Tue May 13 1997 16:43 | 26 |
| RE: .52
>Oh, come on. Are you going to claim that a game between a young prodigy with
>nothing else to remember and an older wordly expert is unfair because the
>prodigy can remember everything he's been taught? Are you going to claim that
>a race between a horse and horseless carriage is unfair because the horse
>doesn't have a gasoline engine?
Lets just call the comparison for what its worth, "who can do things
faster, a human or a computer?"
>What is so special about chess that the fact that it has been cracked to some
>high degree by a computational method gets people so upset? It's like the
>world has ended or something. Chess is fully open to mathematical analysis;
>the only reason it resists the challenge is because it's complex. A game such
>as bridge has a psychological element to it, where you try to mislead your
>opponents or to communicate something to your partner with a highly limited
>language, but chess is right there on the board, for all to see. I fully
>expect computer bridge players to challenge champions, psychology or not; why
>not chess?
No strategy or psychology in chess? Surely you don't think that, right?
I would think that bridge is an easier problem to solve, not a harder
problem...
-John
|
5277.56 | | MRPTH1::16.34.80.132::slab | labounty@mail.dec.com | Tue May 13 1997 17:10 | 16 |
|
I think the point was that you can't "bluff" in a chess game against
a computer that's processing every possible game outcome after every
move.
Sure, you can "bluff" by offering the computer your queen so that you
can move in with the rook within the next two moves for an easy mate,
but the computer will see that very easily. A human might miss it,
for whatever reason.
And I don't know much about bridge [IE, how many cards are dealt ...
all of them?], but there is a "hidden element" in bridge in that the
computer does not know which cards are held by which players, or in
which order they will be played. In chess, all of the pieces are in
plain sight, so there are no "surprises".
|
5277.57 | | LGP30::FLEISCHER | without vision the people perish (DTN 381-0426 ZKO1-1) | Tue May 13 1997 17:18 | 12 |
| re Note 5277.53 by LEXS01::GINGER:
> Its to late to do chess, but we need to come up with some similar use
> of computers, throw the ammount of money at it that it cost to produce
> one monkey ad, and discover real marketing.
Well, we did AltaVista Search.
(I know, I know -- not quite the same kind of thing. But in
a way, it's the kind of thing we would do.)
Bob
|
5277.58 | The fact is, we're not even in the game | dialin_706_101.lkg.dec.com::grady | Tim Grady, OpenVMS Network Engineering | Tue May 13 1997 17:56 | 14 |
| IBM is just doing what IBM has always done best: Marketing.
The event has almost no business merit otherwise, aside from a
rather esoteric curiosity. They wouldn't have done it
at all, had they not had significant reason to believe
they'd win, or failing to win, at least good exposure.
And we're doing just what we've always done: talking
about how we could do that too. If we had thought of it.
We didn't. That has almost no business merit either.
tim
|
5277.59 | Yes, AltaVista Search is different | EVMS::KILGALLEN | ZK0 4x13, DTN 381-2879 | Tue May 13 1997 18:59 | 19 |
| > <<< Note 5277.57 by LGP30::FLEISCHER "without vision the people perish (DTN 381-0426 ZKO1-1)" >>>
>
> re Note 5277.53 by LEXS01::GINGER:
>
> > Its to late to do chess, but we need to come up with some similar use
> > of computers, throw the ammount of money at it that it cost to produce
> > one monkey ad, and discover real marketing.
>
> Well, we did AltaVista Search.
>
> (I know, I know -- not quite the same kind of thing. But in
That is true.
AltaVista Search is only of interest to those who use computers.
IBM has really trounced all competitors with Deep Blue in terms of
gaining the mindshare of those who are not potential customers.
The universality of their PR coup should consider in that light.
|
5277.60 | publicity? we got them now! | HELIX::SONTAKKE | | Tue May 13 1997 19:01 | 1 |
| Forget the chess, today we *own* the financial news airwaves.
|
5277.61 | American Computer | ATZIS2::UHL | let all my pushes be popped | Thu May 15 1997 13:50 | 9 |
| according to NEWSBYTES (05/14/97) American Computer Co. a maker of
personal computers, servers, and parallel-processing supercomputers,
has challenged IBM's Deep Blue chess computer to a match. Jack Shulman,
president of American Computer told that his company would put up
against Deep Blue one of its Valkyrie or Vulcan systems, with from 64
to 16,534 Inter Corp. Pentium or Digital Equipment Corp. Alpha
processors running in parallel.... He would say, though, that "I don't
think that Deep Blue has the processing capacity of the machine we're
talking about"
|
5277.62 | Help that guy | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Thu May 15 1997 14:26 | 8 |
| >Jack Shulman, president of American Computer told that his company would
>put up against Deep Blue
More power to that man! That is the way to go!
..Kevin..
|
5277.63 | But a great publicity stunt... | 37030::FPRUSS | Frank Pruss, 202-232-7347 | Thu May 15 1997 23:17 | 3 |
| Yabbut,
Who's gonna program it?
|
5277.64 | find someone | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Fri May 16 1997 08:31 | 6 |
| >>Who's gonna program it?
There must be some hungry chess brains out there we could jointly
sponser with other entities?
..Kevin..
|
5277.65 | | QUARK::LIONEL | Free advice is worth every cent | Fri May 16 1997 13:43 | 3 |
| And what would you accomplish? More free advertising for IBM!
Steve
|
5277.66 | | REGENT::POWERS | | Mon May 19 1997 18:22 | 7 |
| IBM is gaining even more leverage from their publicity.
They have an ad on now that pits NBA star David Robinson
against Deep Blue in a one-on-one basketball game.
Robinson wins, 21-0, and his parting comments to Deep Blue
are "stick to Web service."
- tom]
|
5277.67 | | PHXS01::HEISER | Maranatha! | Mon May 19 1997 19:47 | 1 |
| All that ad proves is that chess is not a real sport.
|
5277.68 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Tue May 20 1997 10:00 | 2 |
| All that ad proves is that IBM is light years ahead of DIGITAL when it
comes to marketing.
|
5277.69 | Chess is well suited for computers | AXPLAB::VLASIU | Sorin Vlasiu - Brussels, Belgium | Tue May 20 1997 13:23 | 26 |
| Re. Chess and bridge games
If I remember well from the game theory (this was twenty years ago ..)
Chess and bridge are different by the fact that chess is a 'deterministic' game
while bridge is a 'non-deterministic' game (I don't know if this is the correct
translation or terminology).
This means that in chess all the future moves may be (theoretically) determined
as there is no random factor, while in bridge the card distribution is random
and also because the players do not see each other's cards.
Thus chess is a game where the graph (web ?) of all the possible moves
(and situations) may be (theoretically) known by both players. In such games
there is only one winner and allways the same (as long as it follows a winning
path), based on the fact that the starting position is in the kernel of the
game graph or not. Currently it is not known who should be the winner (the first
or the second player) for the chess game.
I will not go into further details but, to conclude, the day a machine will
be able to develop the graph of the chess game, the machine should allways win
if starting as 'winner' player. Even starting as 'loser' the machine could
take advantage of the first non-winning path move of the other player and
become 'winner'.
Now, to completely determine the chess game graph (or web) .. this is really
a hard job even for today's computers ;-)
I do not know much about how bridge can be approached but I think it's more
diffcult than for chess.
Sorin
|
5277.70 | | NETCAD::MORRISON | Bob M. LKG2-A/R5 226-7570 | Wed May 21 1997 21:24 | 5 |
| >Chess and bridge are different by the fact that chess is a 'deterministic' game
>while bridge is a 'non-deterministic' game (I don't know if this is the correct
>translation or terminology).
Yes, that is the correct terminology.
|
5277.71 | | RUSURE::EDP | Always mount a scratch monkey. | Thu May 22 1997 12:27 | 20 |
| Re .70:
> Yes, that is the correct terminology.
I do not believe it is. More important from the game theory point of
view is that chess is a game of complete information while bridge is
not -- in chess, both players know the entire state of the game, but
that is not so in bridge.
Bridge is non-deterministic before the shuffle, but the state of the
game is fixed after the shuffle; there is no more randomness. Does
that mean bridge after the shuffle plays like a chess game? No,
because information is incomplete even though it is determined.
-- edp
Public key fingerprint: 8e ad 63 61 ba 0c 26 86 32 0a 7d 28 db e7 6f 75
To find PGP, read note 2688.4 in Humane::IBMPC_Shareware.
|
5277.72 | | REGENT::POWERS | | Thu May 22 1997 13:04 | 31 |
| >> > Yes, that is the correct terminology.
>
> I do not believe it is. More important from the game theory point of
> view is that chess is a game of complete information while bridge is
> not -- in chess, both players know the entire state of the game, but
> that is not so in bridge.
> Bridge is non-deterministic before the shuffle, but the state of the
> game is fixed after the shuffle; there is no more randomness. Does
> that mean bridge after the shuffle plays like a chess game? No,
> because information is incomplete even though it is determined.
Eric is right. Though I can't speak to the game theory terminology,
there are at least three classes of games:
Chess, checkers, go, and others are games of "perfect knowledge."
They are not (or need not be) driven by random events or probabilities,
all participants can theoretically known every possible path from a given
point.
Bridge and other card games that use the complete deck are deterministic
but are games of "imperfect knowledge." Inferences can be drawn
based on deterministic evaluations of probability. Knowledge grows
during the course of the game, and may become perfect at some point
before its conclusion, or may remain incomplete until the second
to the last card is played.
Backgammon is a non-deterministic game, driven at each turn by the roll
of the dice. Knowledge of the state of the game is, in one sense, perfect,
but the course of the game cannot be known in advance.
- tom]
|
5277.73 | | CXXC::REINIG | This too shall change | Thu May 22 1997 13:42 | 15 |
| > Currently it is not known who should be the winner (the first
> or the second player) for the chess game.
I thought that what is unknown is whether or not white has a forced
win, i.e. it is known that black does not have a forced win.
There's some proof of this roughly of the form:
Assume black has a forced win. For white's first move, make some
innocuous move that has no bearing on the outcome of the game. If
Thereafter, play as black. White now has a forced move.
I've probably misremembered the proof.
August G. Reinig
|
5277.74 | | REGENT::POWERS | | Thu May 22 1997 17:26 | 16 |
| > <<< Note 5277.73 by CXXC::REINIG "This too shall change" >>>
>
>> Currently it is not known who should be the winner (the first
>> or the second player) for the chess game.
>
>I thought that what is unknown is whether or not white has a forced
>win, i.e. it is known that black does not have a forced win.
I don't think that it is proven either way.
Experience would indicate that if there is a forced win, it is more likely
to be white's, but that's not a proof.
(In decided games, that is, games that do not end in a draw, white
wins about twice as often as black. Exact statistics depend on the level
of the players involved.)
- tom]
|
5277.75 | | BIGUN::nessus.cao.dec.com::Mayne | A wretched hive of scum and villainy | Sun May 25 1997 21:28 | 10 |
| From the Sunday Times, reprinted in the Weekend Australian:
The victory of IBM supercomputer Deep Blue over world chess champion Garry
Kasparov two weeks ago may not be a simple triumph of machine over man after
all. According to IBM, Deep Blue's number-crunching ability will be used within
two years to model and test new drugs. IBM claims this could reduce the average
12-year development period for a drug to about six years. Powerful computers now
used to speed up development can take one or two months to determine a
nanosecond's worth of interaction between 1000 atoms. A Deep Blue supercomputer
could model, in one day, the split-second interaction of one million atoms.
|
5277.76 | | BIGUN::BAKER | Where is DIGITAL Modula-3? | Sun May 25 1997 23:11 | 4 |
| I'm just glad they havent started showing ads with drug researchers
sitting around in white coats playing chess against a computer with the
slogan: "Dr. Salk earning his next Nobel Prize", or somesuch.
|
5277.77 | We are good at this | MKTCRV::MANNERINGS | | Mon May 26 1997 10:22 | 5 |
| Well, we may have a response to this: I recall hearing at a Unix
Symposium that the gene thought to be responsible for diabetes was
found using an Alpha. Does anyone know the facts about this?
..Kevin..
|
5277.78 | | BIGUN::nessus.cao.dec.com::Mayne | A wretched hive of scum and villainy | Mon May 26 1997 22:36 | 3 |
| See also http://sawww.epfl.ch/SIC/SA/publications/SCR95/7-95-63a.html
PJDM
|
5277.79 | | dhcp-35-240-73.mro.dec.com::levine | Randy Levine | Tue May 27 1997 12:27 | 4 |
| Cartoon in last week's New Yorker magazine:
Man looking at his microwave oven and saying, "No, I don't want to play chess,
I just want you to reheat the lasagna."
|